Official CONAGUA forecasts for September 22 project maximum temperatures of 24–26°C in Mexico City, directly supporting the market's leading 26°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international guidance shows afternoon highs moderated by the city's high elevation near 2,240 meters, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers or chubascos that reduce solar heating. Historical September averages near 22–24°C, combined with current steering patterns and moisture from tropical systems, limit upside to 27°C or higher while keeping lower outcomes unlikely. Updated model runs and the short two-day horizon to resolution will determine any final shifts in trader sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 22?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 22?
26°C 53%
27°C or higher 30%
25°C 15%
24°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
17°C or below
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
15%
26°C
53%
27°C or higher
30%
26°C 53%
27°C or higher 30%
25°C 15%
24°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
17°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$13 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$36 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$65 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$51 ปริมาณ
15%
26°C
$460 ปริมาณ
53%
27°C or higher
$126 ปริมาณ
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official CONAGUA forecasts for September 22 project maximum temperatures of 24–26°C in Mexico City, directly supporting the market's leading 26°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international guidance shows afternoon highs moderated by the city's high elevation near 2,240 meters, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers or chubascos that reduce solar heating. Historical September averages near 22–24°C, combined with current steering patterns and moisture from tropical systems, limit upside to 27°C or higher while keeping lower outcomes unlikely. Updated model runs and the short two-day horizon to resolution will determine any final shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$864วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official CONAGUA forecasts for September 22 project maximum temperatures of 24–26°C in Mexico City, directly supporting the market's leading 26°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international guidance shows afternoon highs moderated by the city's high elevation near 2,240 meters, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers or chubascos that reduce solar heating. Historical September averages near 22–24°C, combined with current steering patterns and moisture from tropical systems, limit upside to 27°C or higher while keeping lower outcomes unlikely. Updated model runs and the short two-day horizon to resolution will determine any final shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$864วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official CONAGUA forecasts for September 22 project maximum temperatures of 24–26°C in Mexico City, directly supporting the market's leading 26°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international guidance shows afternoon highs moderated by the city's high elevation near 2,240 meters, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers or chubascos that reduce solar heating. Historical September averages near 22–24°C, combined with current steering patterns and moisture from tropical systems, limit upside to 27°C or higher while keeping lower outcomes unlikely. Updated model runs and the short two-day horizon to resolution will determine any final shifts in trader sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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