Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 18, 2026, under clear skies with daytime highs near 29°C and light winds, aligning closely with late-summer climatological norms for the region. This verified observation from the primary monitoring station drives the near-certain market-implied odds for 27°C, as traders incorporate real-time surface data and model consensus showing stable nocturnal cooling without significant cold-air advection. Minor probability remains for other outcomes only if post-processing revisions adjust the daily minimum or if resolution criteria reference an alternate station or rounding convention.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
27°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$21,000 ปริมาณ
$21,000 ปริมาณ
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$21,000 ปริมาณ
$21,000 ปริมาณ
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
$81 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$38 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$33 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$268 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$1,216 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$8,240 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$6,034 ปริมาณ
100%
28°C
$2,662 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$53 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,187 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,187 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 18, 2026, under clear skies with daytime highs near 29°C and light winds, aligning closely with late-summer climatological norms for the region. This verified observation from the primary monitoring station drives the near-certain market-implied odds for 27°C, as traders incorporate real-time surface data and model consensus showing stable nocturnal cooling without significant cold-air advection. Minor probability remains for other outcomes only if post-processing revisions adjust the daily minimum or if resolution criteria reference an alternate station or rounding convention.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,000วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 18, 2026, under clear skies with daytime highs near 29°C and light winds, aligning closely with late-summer climatological norms for the region. This verified observation from the primary monitoring station drives the near-certain market-implied odds for 27°C, as traders incorporate real-time surface data and model consensus showing stable nocturnal cooling without significant cold-air advection. Minor probability remains for other outcomes only if post-processing revisions adjust the daily minimum or if resolution criteria reference an alternate station or rounding convention.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,000วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 18, 2026, under clear skies with daytime highs near 29°C and light winds, aligning closely with late-summer climatological norms for the region. This verified observation from the primary monitoring station drives the near-certain market-implied odds for 27°C, as traders incorporate real-time surface data and model consensus showing stable nocturnal cooling without significant cold-air advection. Minor probability remains for other outcomes only if post-processing revisions adjust the daily minimum or if resolution criteria reference an alternate station or rounding convention.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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