**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the official lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 19, 2026, with market-implied odds at 99.9%.** This reflects verified overnight observations under a dominant high-pressure system delivering clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover across the region, which limited radiative cooling and kept the Tsim Sha Tsui minimum aligned with recent climatological norms near 26–28°C. Supporting data from HKO regional stations and model consensus showed stable atmospheric conditions without significant monsoon intrusions or convective activity that could have driven a lower reading. The outcome sits just above historical September baselines, consistent with the observed 29°C daytime maximum. Only an unanticipated late-evening cloud increase or localized wind shift could have altered the result, but no such developments materialized in the final hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
27°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,800 ปริมาณ
$19,800 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,800 ปริมาณ
$19,800 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
21°C or below
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$46 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$117 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$2,460 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$3,061 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$9,441 ปริมาณ
100%
28°C
$2,282 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,143 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,137 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the official lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 19, 2026, with market-implied odds at 99.9%.** This reflects verified overnight observations under a dominant high-pressure system delivering clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover across the region, which limited radiative cooling and kept the Tsim Sha Tsui minimum aligned with recent climatological norms near 26–28°C. Supporting data from HKO regional stations and model consensus showed stable atmospheric conditions without significant monsoon intrusions or convective activity that could have driven a lower reading. The outcome sits just above historical September baselines, consistent with the observed 29°C daytime maximum. Only an unanticipated late-evening cloud increase or localized wind shift could have altered the result, but no such developments materialized in the final hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,800วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the official lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 19, 2026, with market-implied odds at 99.9%.** This reflects verified overnight observations under a dominant high-pressure system delivering clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover across the region, which limited radiative cooling and kept the Tsim Sha Tsui minimum aligned with recent climatological norms near 26–28°C. Supporting data from HKO regional stations and model consensus showed stable atmospheric conditions without significant monsoon intrusions or convective activity that could have driven a lower reading. The outcome sits just above historical September baselines, consistent with the observed 29°C daytime maximum. Only an unanticipated late-evening cloud increase or localized wind shift could have altered the result, but no such developments materialized in the final hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,800วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the official lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 19, 2026, with market-implied odds at 99.9%.** This reflects verified overnight observations under a dominant high-pressure system delivering clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover across the region, which limited radiative cooling and kept the Tsim Sha Tsui minimum aligned with recent climatological norms near 26–28°C. Supporting data from HKO regional stations and model consensus showed stable atmospheric conditions without significant monsoon intrusions or convective activity that could have driven a lower reading. The outcome sits just above historical September baselines, consistent with the observed 29°C daytime maximum. Only an unanticipated late-evening cloud increase or localized wind shift could have altered the result, but no such developments materialized in the final hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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