Persistent heavy rainfall and cloud cover associated with Typhoon 25 approaching the region are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo, keeping the maximum temperature tightly clustered near 24–26°C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and global model consensus. Strong northeasterly winds and near-100% precipitation probabilities through September 21 further limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, moderating what would otherwise be higher late-summer values. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with 25°C holding a modest edge as the most probable peak under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Tokyo observation site once data are finalized.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 21?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 21?
25°C 30%
24°C 27%
26°C 22%
27°C 12%
ใหม่
$39,721 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$39,721 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
27%
25°C
30%
26°C
22%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 30%
24°C 27%
26°C 22%
27°C 12%
ใหม่
$39,721 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$39,721 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
$111 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$2,720 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$2,868 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$3,751 ปริมาณ
10%
24°C
$12,647 ปริมาณ
27%
25°C
$5,675 ปริมาณ
30%
26°C
$4,895 ปริมาณ
22%
27°C
$3,215 ปริมาณ
12%
28°C
$1,726 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$1,025 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,088 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rainfall and cloud cover associated with Typhoon 25 approaching the region are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo, keeping the maximum temperature tightly clustered near 24–26°C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and global model consensus. Strong northeasterly winds and near-100% precipitation probabilities through September 21 further limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, moderating what would otherwise be higher late-summer values. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with 25°C holding a modest edge as the most probable peak under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Tokyo observation site once data are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,721วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rainfall and cloud cover associated with Typhoon 25 approaching the region are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo, keeping the maximum temperature tightly clustered near 24–26°C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and global model consensus. Strong northeasterly winds and near-100% precipitation probabilities through September 21 further limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, moderating what would otherwise be higher late-summer values. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with 25°C holding a modest edge as the most probable peak under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Tokyo observation site once data are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,721วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heavy rainfall and cloud cover associated with Typhoon 25 approaching the region are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo, keeping the maximum temperature tightly clustered near 24–26°C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and global model consensus. Strong northeasterly winds and near-100% precipitation probabilities through September 21 further limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, moderating what would otherwise be higher late-summer values. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with 25°C holding a modest edge as the most probable peak under current steering patterns and moisture profiles. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Tokyo observation site once data are finalized.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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