The open seat in Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, vacated by Republican Rep. Andy Barr’s Senate bid, features a slight Republican voter registration edge and a history of GOP dominance since 2013, driving trader consensus toward Ralph Alvarado at 72.5%. Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with 56.5% of the primary vote and carries endorsements from President Trump and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, bolstering his position in a district redrawn to include more rural Republican areas. Zach Dembo captured the Democratic primary with 39.6% and benefits from Gov. Andy Beshear’s support plus DCCC resources, with one internal poll showing a statistical tie in late June. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, though recent debate scheduling disputes and scrutiny of Alvarado’s prior roles have kept the contest active heading into October events.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKY-06 House Election Winner
KY-06 House Election Winner
$34,981 ปริมาณ
$34,981 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Ralph Alvarado (R)
73%
Zach Dembo (D)
26%
$34,981 ปริมาณ
$34,981 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Ralph Alvarado (R)
$14,999 ปริมาณ
73%
Zach Dembo (D)
$19,983 ปริมาณ
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, vacated by Republican Rep. Andy Barr’s Senate bid, features a slight Republican voter registration edge and a history of GOP dominance since 2013, driving trader consensus toward Ralph Alvarado at 72.5%. Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with 56.5% of the primary vote and carries endorsements from President Trump and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, bolstering his position in a district redrawn to include more rural Republican areas. Zach Dembo captured the Democratic primary with 39.6% and benefits from Gov. Andy Beshear’s support plus DCCC resources, with one internal poll showing a statistical tie in late June. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, though recent debate scheduling disputes and scrutiny of Alvarado’s prior roles have kept the contest active heading into October events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,981วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, vacated by Republican Rep. Andy Barr’s Senate bid, features a slight Republican voter registration edge and a history of GOP dominance since 2013, driving trader consensus toward Ralph Alvarado at 72.5%. Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with 56.5% of the primary vote and carries endorsements from President Trump and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, bolstering his position in a district redrawn to include more rural Republican areas. Zach Dembo captured the Democratic primary with 39.6% and benefits from Gov. Andy Beshear’s support plus DCCC resources, with one internal poll showing a statistical tie in late June. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, though recent debate scheduling disputes and scrutiny of Alvarado’s prior roles have kept the contest active heading into October events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,981วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, vacated by Republican Rep. Andy Barr’s Senate bid, features a slight Republican voter registration edge and a history of GOP dominance since 2013, driving trader consensus toward Ralph Alvarado at 72.5%. Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with 56.5% of the primary vote and carries endorsements from President Trump and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, bolstering his position in a district redrawn to include more rural Republican areas. Zach Dembo captured the Democratic primary with 39.6% and benefits from Gov. Andy Beshear’s support plus DCCC resources, with one internal poll showing a statistical tie in late June. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, though recent debate scheduling disputes and scrutiny of Alvarado’s prior roles have kept the contest active heading into October events.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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