Recent Reuters and Wall Street Journal reporting has driven November 2026 to a 48.6% market-implied probability by confirming Anthropic’s shift from an October target, with the company now aiming to release its public S-1 prospectus in late September, begin investor marketing in mid-October, and complete the listing shortly before the November midterms. The confidential SEC filing from June 1, 2026, combined with rapid revenue growth to a $65 billion annualized run rate in July and projections exceeding $100 billion by year-end, supports expectations of a roughly $2 trillion valuation. Traders are pricing in the desire for a full third-quarter financial update before the roadshow, while noting risks from regulatory scrutiny of large language model development and data center expansion. Key near-term catalysts include the prospectus release and finalization of a $15 billion credit facility.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNovember 2026 48.6%
December 2026 23.6%
January 2027 8.8%
February 2027 4.3%
$253,266 ปริมาณ
$253,266 ปริมาณ
September 2026
<1%
October 2026
3%
November 2026
49%
December 2026
24%
January 2027
9%
February 2027
4%
March 2027
6%
April 2027
2%
May 2027
1%
June 2027
1%
July 2027
1%
August 2027
<1%
September 2027
1%
October 2027
1%
November 2027
1%
December 2027
1%
No IPO before 2028
2%
November 2026 48.6%
December 2026 23.6%
January 2027 8.8%
February 2027 4.3%
$253,266 ปริมาณ
$253,266 ปริมาณ
September 2026
<1%
October 2026
3%
November 2026
49%
December 2026
24%
January 2027
9%
February 2027
4%
March 2027
6%
April 2027
2%
May 2027
1%
June 2027
1%
July 2027
1%
August 2027
<1%
September 2027
1%
October 2027
1%
November 2027
1%
December 2027
1%
No IPO before 2028
2%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Reuters and Wall Street Journal reporting has driven November 2026 to a 48.6% market-implied probability by confirming Anthropic’s shift from an October target, with the company now aiming to release its public S-1 prospectus in late September, begin investor marketing in mid-October, and complete the listing shortly before the November midterms. The confidential SEC filing from June 1, 2026, combined with rapid revenue growth to a $65 billion annualized run rate in July and projections exceeding $100 billion by year-end, supports expectations of a roughly $2 trillion valuation. Traders are pricing in the desire for a full third-quarter financial update before the roadshow, while noting risks from regulatory scrutiny of large language model development and data center expansion. Key near-term catalysts include the prospectus release and finalization of a $15 billion credit facility.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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