Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads independent benchmarks such as BenchAlign at 84.74, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra at 82.81 and other frontier large language models, driving the 77.5% market-implied probability that the company fields the strongest AI model by end of November. Recent releases from Anthropic have delivered superior performance on reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks while maintaining a 1M-token context window, and the lab disclosed that its models now lead 26% of internal AI research and development work. OpenAI and Google trail on the latest composites despite competitive offerings, with no major model updates from rivals reported in the past two weeks that would alter the near-term hierarchy. Traders appear focused on Anthropic's release cadence and benchmark momentum as the key swing factors through November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 78%
Google 9%
OpenAI 9%
Mistral 5.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
78%
9%
OpenAI
9%
Mistral
5%
Baidu
4%
SpaceXAI
4%
ByteDance
4%
Amazon
4%
Moonshot
3%
StepFun
3%
Nvidia
3%
Meta
1%
Alibaba
1%
Thinky
1%
Meituan
1%
Microsoft
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Z.ai
1%
Xiaomi
1%
MiniMax
1%
Tencent
1%
Anthropic 78%
Google 9%
OpenAI 9%
Mistral 5.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
$713 ปริมาณ
78%
$212 ปริมาณ
9%
OpenAI
$334 ปริมาณ
9%
Mistral
$111 ปริมาณ
5%
Baidu
$157 ปริมาณ
4%
SpaceXAI
$125 ปริมาณ
4%
ByteDance
$155 ปริมาณ
4%
Amazon
$158 ปริมาณ
4%
Moonshot
$123 ปริมาณ
3%
StepFun
$186 ปริมาณ
3%
Nvidia
$158 ปริมาณ
3%
Meta
$123 ปริมาณ
1%
Alibaba
$84 ปริมาณ
1%
Thinky
$156 ปริมาณ
1%
Meituan
$74 ปริมาณ
1%
Microsoft
$120 ปริมาณ
1%
DeepSeek
$74 ปริมาณ
1%
Z.ai
$74 ปริมาณ
1%
Xiaomi
$123 ปริมาณ
1%
MiniMax
$74 ปริมาณ
1%
Tencent
$74 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads independent benchmarks such as BenchAlign at 84.74, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra at 82.81 and other frontier large language models, driving the 77.5% market-implied probability that the company fields the strongest AI model by end of November. Recent releases from Anthropic have delivered superior performance on reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks while maintaining a 1M-token context window, and the lab disclosed that its models now lead 26% of internal AI research and development work. OpenAI and Google trail on the latest composites despite competitive offerings, with no major model updates from rivals reported in the past two weeks that would alter the near-term hierarchy. Traders appear focused on Anthropic's release cadence and benchmark momentum as the key swing factors through November.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,409วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads independent benchmarks such as BenchAlign at 84.74, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra at 82.81 and other frontier large language models, driving the 77.5% market-implied probability that the company fields the strongest AI model by end of November. Recent releases from Anthropic have delivered superior performance on reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks while maintaining a 1M-token context window, and the lab disclosed that its models now lead 26% of internal AI research and development work. OpenAI and Google trail on the latest composites despite competitive offerings, with no major model updates from rivals reported in the past two weeks that would alter the near-term hierarchy. Traders appear focused on Anthropic's release cadence and benchmark momentum as the key swing factors through November.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,409วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads independent benchmarks such as BenchAlign at 84.74, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra at 82.81 and other frontier large language models, driving the 77.5% market-implied probability that the company fields the strongest AI model by end of November. Recent releases from Anthropic have delivered superior performance on reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks while maintaining a 1M-token context window, and the lab disclosed that its models now lead 26% of internal AI research and development work. OpenAI and Google trail on the latest composites despite competitive offerings, with no major model updates from rivals reported in the past two weeks that would alter the near-term hierarchy. Traders appear focused on Anthropic's release cadence and benchmark momentum as the key swing factors through November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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