Anthropic’s official launch of Claude Opus 5.5 on September 22 drives the near-certain market consensus, with the model now live across the Claude platform, AWS, Google Cloud, and Azure. The release delivers Fable 5.1-level performance on coding and knowledge work benchmarks at roughly 40% lower cost than Opus 5, alongside faster inference, clearer communication, and stronger safety scores from external evaluators like METR. This follows the July 24 debut of Opus 5 and aligns with Anthropic’s recent emphasis on measured frontier pacing. While the confirmed availability leaves little room for slippage, any last-minute rollout issues or delayed API access could theoretically shift resolution, though public benchmarks and announcements make such outcomes highly improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSeptember 22 100.0%
September 18 <1%
On or prior to September 16 <1%
September 17 <1%
$494,797 ปริมาณ
$494,797 ปริมาณ
Sep 16, 2026
On or prior to September 16
No
September 17
No
September 18
No
September 19
No
September 20
No
September 21
No
September 22
Yes
September 23
No
September 24
No
September 25
No
September 26
No
September 27
No
September 28
No
September 29
No
September 30
No
No release by September 30
No
September 22 100.0%
September 18 <1%
On or prior to September 16 <1%
September 17 <1%
$494,797 ปริมาณ
$494,797 ปริมาณ
Sep 16, 2026
On or prior to September 16
$149 ปริมาณ
No
September 17
$620 ปริมาณ
No
September 18
$542 ปริมาณ
No
September 19
$669 ปริมาณ
No
September 20
$1,172 ปริมาณ
No
September 21
$169,566 ปริมาณ
No
September 22
$181,525 ปริมาณ
Yes
September 23
$30,839 ปริมาณ
No
September 24
$32,906 ปริมาณ
No
September 25
$14,238 ปริมาณ
No
September 26
$8,925 ปริมาณ
No
September 27
$7,526 ปริมาณ
No
September 28
$6,322 ปริมาณ
No
September 29
$8,466 ปริมาณ
No
September 30
$8,343 ปริมาณ
No
No release by September 30
$22,989 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s official launch of Claude Opus 5.5 on September 22 drives the near-certain market consensus, with the model now live across the Claude platform, AWS, Google Cloud, and Azure. The release delivers Fable 5.1-level performance on coding and knowledge work benchmarks at roughly 40% lower cost than Opus 5, alongside faster inference, clearer communication, and stronger safety scores from external evaluators like METR. This follows the July 24 debut of Opus 5 and aligns with Anthropic’s recent emphasis on measured frontier pacing. While the confirmed availability leaves little room for slippage, any last-minute rollout issues or delayed API access could theoretically shift resolution, though public benchmarks and announcements make such outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$494,797วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s official launch of Claude Opus 5.5 on September 22 drives the near-certain market consensus, with the model now live across the Claude platform, AWS, Google Cloud, and Azure. The release delivers Fable 5.1-level performance on coding and knowledge work benchmarks at roughly 40% lower cost than Opus 5, alongside faster inference, clearer communication, and stronger safety scores from external evaluators like METR. This follows the July 24 debut of Opus 5 and aligns with Anthropic’s recent emphasis on measured frontier pacing. While the confirmed availability leaves little room for slippage, any last-minute rollout issues or delayed API access could theoretically shift resolution, though public benchmarks and announcements make such outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$494,797วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Anthropic’s official launch of Claude Opus 5.5 on September 22 drives the near-certain market consensus, with the model now live across the Claude platform, AWS, Google Cloud, and Azure. The release delivers Fable 5.1-level performance on coding and knowledge work benchmarks at roughly 40% lower cost than Opus 5, alongside faster inference, clearer communication, and stronger safety scores from external evaluators like METR. This follows the July 24 debut of Opus 5 and aligns with Anthropic’s recent emphasis on measured frontier pacing. While the confirmed availability leaves little room for slippage, any last-minute rollout issues or delayed API access could theoretically shift resolution, though public benchmarks and announcements make such outcomes highly improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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