Google’s prolonged delay of Gemini 3.5 Pro continues to anchor trader sentiment, with the model still listed as “coming soon” on DeepMind’s site more than three months after its May 2026 I/O debut and subsequent June/July targets. Persistent shortfalls in coding benchmarks and agentic performance prompted extended internal testing and partner feedback loops, while Google accelerated a rapid cadence of Flash variants—including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash—without advancing the flagship Pro tier. Leadership comments at the July earnings call emphasized Gemini 4 training over near-term 3.5 Pro availability, reinforcing the market’s 82.5% implied probability of no release by September 30. Key near-term catalysts include any API changelog entries, developer conference updates, or official statements that could alter the current consensus around late-2026 timing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNo release by September 30 83%
September 30 4.0%
September 24 3.7%
September 23 3.6%
$90,946 ปริมาณ
$90,946 ปริมาณ
Sep 12, 2026
September 12
1%
September 13
1%
September 14
<1%
September 15
2%
September 16
2%
September 17
2%
September 18
<1%
September 19
1%
September 20
1%
September 21
2%
September 22
3%
September 23
4%
September 24
4%
September 25
1%
September 26
1%
September 27
1%
September 28
3%
September 29
2%
September 30
4%
No release by September 30
83%
No release by September 30 83%
September 30 4.0%
September 24 3.7%
September 23 3.6%
$90,946 ปริมาณ
$90,946 ปริมาณ
Sep 12, 2026
September 12
$307 ปริมาณ
1%
September 13
$336 ปริมาณ
1%
September 14
$409 ปริมาณ
<1%
September 15
$547 ปริมาณ
2%
September 16
$543 ปริมาณ
2%
September 17
$547 ปริมาณ
2%
September 18
$310 ปริมาณ
<1%
September 19
$307 ปริมาณ
1%
September 20
$307 ปริมาณ
1%
September 21
$537 ปริมาณ
2%
September 22
$584 ปริมาณ
3%
September 23
$464 ปริมาณ
4%
September 24
$594 ปริมาณ
4%
September 25
$303 ปริมาณ
1%
September 26
$305 ปริมาณ
1%
September 27
$307 ปริมาณ
1%
September 28
$485 ปริมาณ
3%
September 29
$375 ปริมาณ
2%
September 30
$823 ปริมาณ
4%
No release by September 30
$76,453 ปริมาณ
83%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s prolonged delay of Gemini 3.5 Pro continues to anchor trader sentiment, with the model still listed as “coming soon” on DeepMind’s site more than three months after its May 2026 I/O debut and subsequent June/July targets. Persistent shortfalls in coding benchmarks and agentic performance prompted extended internal testing and partner feedback loops, while Google accelerated a rapid cadence of Flash variants—including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash—without advancing the flagship Pro tier. Leadership comments at the July earnings call emphasized Gemini 4 training over near-term 3.5 Pro availability, reinforcing the market’s 82.5% implied probability of no release by September 30. Key near-term catalysts include any API changelog entries, developer conference updates, or official statements that could alter the current consensus around late-2026 timing.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$90,946วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s prolonged delay of Gemini 3.5 Pro continues to anchor trader sentiment, with the model still listed as “coming soon” on DeepMind’s site more than three months after its May 2026 I/O debut and subsequent June/July targets. Persistent shortfalls in coding benchmarks and agentic performance prompted extended internal testing and partner feedback loops, while Google accelerated a rapid cadence of Flash variants—including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash—without advancing the flagship Pro tier. Leadership comments at the July earnings call emphasized Gemini 4 training over near-term 3.5 Pro availability, reinforcing the market’s 82.5% implied probability of no release by September 30. Key near-term catalysts include any API changelog entries, developer conference updates, or official statements that could alter the current consensus around late-2026 timing.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$90,946วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Google’s prolonged delay of Gemini 3.5 Pro continues to anchor trader sentiment, with the model still listed as “coming soon” on DeepMind’s site more than three months after its May 2026 I/O debut and subsequent June/July targets. Persistent shortfalls in coding benchmarks and agentic performance prompted extended internal testing and partner feedback loops, while Google accelerated a rapid cadence of Flash variants—including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash—without advancing the flagship Pro tier. Leadership comments at the July earnings call emphasized Gemini 4 training over near-term 3.5 Pro availability, reinforcing the market’s 82.5% implied probability of no release by September 30. Key near-term catalysts include any API changelog entries, developer conference updates, or official statements that could alter the current consensus around late-2026 timing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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