**OpenAI’s September 3 launch of GPT-6 Astra, which rapidly claimed the top spot on Arena.ai’s Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with a 1,797 Elo score, has anchored trader expectations that Anthropic will finish second by month-end.** The crowdsourced benchmark evaluates agentic frontend coding through iterative, multi-step web-app workflows and has logged over 660,000 votes. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 Max and related models sit at 1,688, comfortably ahead of Meta, Alibaba’s Qwen, and other entrants whose scores cluster well below. Strong historical consistency on SWE-bench Verified and similar agentic coding tests reinforces the 78% market-implied probability for Anthropic, while OpenAI’s 18% reflects its new lead and the tight 20-day window to resolution. No major releases or leaderboard shifts have emerged in the past week to alter this positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 78.4%
OpenAI 17.6%
Alibaba 3.1%
Moonshot 2.5%
$68,730 ปริมาณ
$68,730 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
78%
OpenAI
18%
Alibaba
3%
Moonshot
2%
SpaceXAI
1%
Tencent
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 78.4%
OpenAI 17.6%
Alibaba 3.1%
Moonshot 2.5%
$68,730 ปริมาณ
$68,730 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$13,590 ปริมาณ
78%
OpenAI
$7,977 ปริมาณ
18%
Alibaba
$16,925 ปริมาณ
3%
Moonshot
$12,098 ปริมาณ
2%
SpaceXAI
$2,291 ปริมาณ
1%
Tencent
$1,731 ปริมาณ
<1%
Z.ai
$1,852 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meta
$1,699 ปริมาณ
<1%
$1,642 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$3,054 ปริมาณ
<1%
MiniMax
$598 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,468 ปริมาณ
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,022 ปริมาณ
<1%
Thinky
$617 ปริมาณ
<1%
Poolside
$1,035 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$1,130 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**OpenAI’s September 3 launch of GPT-6 Astra, which rapidly claimed the top spot on Arena.ai’s Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with a 1,797 Elo score, has anchored trader expectations that Anthropic will finish second by month-end.**
The crowdsourced benchmark evaluates agentic frontend coding through iterative, multi-step web-app workflows and has logged over 660,000 votes. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 Max and related models sit at 1,688, comfortably ahead of Meta, Alibaba’s Qwen, and other entrants whose scores cluster well below. Strong historical consistency on SWE-bench Verified and similar agentic coding tests reinforces the 78% market-implied probability for Anthropic, while OpenAI’s 18% reflects its new lead and the tight 20-day window to resolution. No major releases or leaderboard shifts have emerged in the past week to alter this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,730วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**OpenAI’s September 3 launch of GPT-6 Astra, which rapidly claimed the top spot on Arena.ai’s Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with a 1,797 Elo score, has anchored trader expectations that Anthropic will finish second by month-end.**
The crowdsourced benchmark evaluates agentic frontend coding through iterative, multi-step web-app workflows and has logged over 660,000 votes. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 Max and related models sit at 1,688, comfortably ahead of Meta, Alibaba’s Qwen, and other entrants whose scores cluster well below. Strong historical consistency on SWE-bench Verified and similar agentic coding tests reinforces the 78% market-implied probability for Anthropic, while OpenAI’s 18% reflects its new lead and the tight 20-day window to resolution. No major releases or leaderboard shifts have emerged in the past week to alter this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,730วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**OpenAI’s September 3 launch of GPT-6 Astra, which rapidly claimed the top spot on Arena.ai’s Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with a 1,797 Elo score, has anchored trader expectations that Anthropic will finish second by month-end.** The crowdsourced benchmark evaluates agentic frontend coding through iterative, multi-step web-app workflows and has logged over 660,000 votes. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 Max and related models sit at 1,688, comfortably ahead of Meta, Alibaba’s Qwen, and other entrants whose scores cluster well below. Strong historical consistency on SWE-bench Verified and similar agentic coding tests reinforces the 78% market-implied probability for Anthropic, while OpenAI’s 18% reflects its new lead and the tight 20-day window to resolution. No major releases or leaderboard shifts have emerged in the past week to alter this positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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