The Indiana 6th congressional district race remains closely balanced between the leading Republican and Democratic nominees according to current trader pricing, reflecting the district’s mix of suburban Indianapolis voters, eastern and central Indiana communities, and its R+16 partisan voter index. Incumbent Republican Jefferson Shreve secured renomination after a competitive primary, while Democrat Cynthia Wirth advanced as the general-election challenger following her May primary victory. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, yet market-implied probabilities near 50% for each top contender highlight uncertainty over final turnout, campaign messaging on economic conditions, and any late-cycle national shifts that could narrow or widen the typical 20–30 point Republican margin seen in recent cycles. Scheduled events through early November, including candidate debates and get-out-the-vote efforts, represent the main near-term catalysts that could separate the outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRepublican 25-30% 24%
Republican 20-25% 22%
Republican 5-15% 14.9%
Republican 0-5% 14.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican 45%+
5%
Republican 40-45%
5%
Republican 35-40%
9%
Republican 30-35%
10%
Republican 25-30%
24%
Republican 20-25%
22%
Republican 15-20%
11%
Republican 5-15%
15%
Republican 0-5%
8%
Democrat Wins
1%
Republican 25-30% 24%
Republican 20-25% 22%
Republican 5-15% 14.9%
Republican 0-5% 14.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican 45%+
$156 ปริมาณ
5%
Republican 40-45%
$124 ปริมาณ
5%
Republican 35-40%
$179 ปริมาณ
9%
Republican 30-35%
$184 ปริมาณ
10%
Republican 25-30%
$2,042 ปริมาณ
24%
Republican 20-25%
$1,168 ปริมาณ
22%
Republican 15-20%
$121 ปริมาณ
11%
Republican 5-15%
$122 ปริมาณ
15%
Republican 0-5%
$162 ปริมาณ
8%
Democrat Wins
$140 ปริมาณ
1%
The 2026 IN-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 IN-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Indiana 6th congressional district race remains closely balanced between the leading Republican and Democratic nominees according to current trader pricing, reflecting the district’s mix of suburban Indianapolis voters, eastern and central Indiana communities, and its R+16 partisan voter index. Incumbent Republican Jefferson Shreve secured renomination after a competitive primary, while Democrat Cynthia Wirth advanced as the general-election challenger following her May primary victory. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, yet market-implied probabilities near 50% for each top contender highlight uncertainty over final turnout, campaign messaging on economic conditions, and any late-cycle national shifts that could narrow or widen the typical 20–30 point Republican margin seen in recent cycles. Scheduled events through early November, including candidate debates and get-out-the-vote efforts, represent the main near-term catalysts that could separate the outcomes.
The 2026 IN-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 IN-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 IN-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,397วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 10:55 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 IN-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 IN-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Indiana 6th congressional district race remains closely balanced between the leading Republican and Democratic nominees according to current trader pricing, reflecting the district’s mix of suburban Indianapolis voters, eastern and central Indiana communities, and its R+16 partisan voter index. Incumbent Republican Jefferson Shreve secured renomination after a competitive primary, while Democrat Cynthia Wirth advanced as the general-election challenger following her May primary victory. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, yet market-implied probabilities near 50% for each top contender highlight uncertainty over final turnout, campaign messaging on economic conditions, and any late-cycle national shifts that could narrow or widen the typical 20–30 point Republican margin seen in recent cycles. Scheduled events through early November, including candidate debates and get-out-the-vote efforts, represent the main near-term catalysts that could separate the outcomes.
The 2026 IN-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 IN-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 IN-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,397วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 10:55 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Indiana 6th congressional district race remains closely balanced between the leading Republican and Democratic nominees according to current trader pricing, reflecting the district’s mix of suburban Indianapolis voters, eastern and central Indiana communities, and its R+16 partisan voter index. Incumbent Republican Jefferson Shreve secured renomination after a competitive primary, while Democrat Cynthia Wirth advanced as the general-election challenger following her May primary victory. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, yet market-implied probabilities near 50% for each top contender highlight uncertainty over final turnout, campaign messaging on economic conditions, and any late-cycle national shifts that could narrow or widen the typical 20–30 point Republican margin seen in recent cycles. Scheduled events through early November, including candidate debates and get-out-the-vote efforts, represent the main near-term catalysts that could separate the outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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