Kurt Alme holds a commanding lead in the Montana Senate race as the Republican nominee in an open seat previously held by retiring Sen. Steve Daines, with recent polls showing him ahead by 15-20 points in a three-way contest. His primary victory, backed by party leadership and high turnout among Republican voters, consolidated support in a state that has trended strongly red in federal contests. The Democratic vote remains split between nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar, limiting the latter's path despite some cross-party endorsements and preventing consolidation against Alme. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Montana's partisan makeup and the absence of major shifts in the past month, though a late Bankhead withdrawal or unexpected polling movement could narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMontana Senate Election Winner
Montana Senate Election Winner
Kurt Alme (R) 91%
Independent 8.0%
Alani Bankhead (D) 1.7%
$118,366 ปริมาณ
$118,366 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Kurt Alme (R)
91%
Independent
8%
Alani Bankhead (D)
2%
Kurt Alme (R) 91%
Independent 8.0%
Alani Bankhead (D) 1.7%
$118,366 ปริมาณ
$118,366 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Kurt Alme (R)
$59,673 ปริมาณ
91%
Independent
$18,015 ปริมาณ
8%
Alani Bankhead (D)
$40,679 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kurt Alme holds a commanding lead in the Montana Senate race as the Republican nominee in an open seat previously held by retiring Sen. Steve Daines, with recent polls showing him ahead by 15-20 points in a three-way contest. His primary victory, backed by party leadership and high turnout among Republican voters, consolidated support in a state that has trended strongly red in federal contests. The Democratic vote remains split between nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar, limiting the latter's path despite some cross-party endorsements and preventing consolidation against Alme. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Montana's partisan makeup and the absence of major shifts in the past month, though a late Bankhead withdrawal or unexpected polling movement could narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$118,366วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kurt Alme holds a commanding lead in the Montana Senate race as the Republican nominee in an open seat previously held by retiring Sen. Steve Daines, with recent polls showing him ahead by 15-20 points in a three-way contest. His primary victory, backed by party leadership and high turnout among Republican voters, consolidated support in a state that has trended strongly red in federal contests. The Democratic vote remains split between nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar, limiting the latter's path despite some cross-party endorsements and preventing consolidation against Alme. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Montana's partisan makeup and the absence of major shifts in the past month, though a late Bankhead withdrawal or unexpected polling movement could narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$118,366วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Kurt Alme holds a commanding lead in the Montana Senate race as the Republican nominee in an open seat previously held by retiring Sen. Steve Daines, with recent polls showing him ahead by 15-20 points in a three-way contest. His primary victory, backed by party leadership and high turnout among Republican voters, consolidated support in a state that has trended strongly red in federal contests. The Democratic vote remains split between nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar, limiting the latter's path despite some cross-party endorsements and preventing consolidation against Alme. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Montana's partisan makeup and the absence of major shifts in the past month, though a late Bankhead withdrawal or unexpected polling movement could narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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