Discord’s confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 has yet to produce a public registration or listing date as of mid-September 2026, leaving the “no IPO by December 31, 2027” outcome at 53.8% implied probability. Secondary-market prices on Forge Global have stabilized near $10 billion after earlier prints around $8.5 billion, well below the 2021 peak of $15 billion and consistent with revenue estimates of roughly $600–800 million. Traders cite extended SEC review timelines, softer consumer-tech multiples, and monetization execution risks as the dominant factors anchoring probabilities in the sub-$14 billion and no-IPO buckets. Key near-term catalysts remain any public S-1 effectiveness or roadshow launch that could shift the market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNo IPO by December 31, 2027 53.8%
8–11B 11.7%
11–14B 8.2%
14–17B 7.7%
$97,471 ปริมาณ
$97,471 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
<5B
2%
5–8B
2%
8–11B
12%
11–14B
8%
14–17B
8%
17–20B
4%
20B+
6%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
54%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 53.8%
8–11B 11.7%
11–14B 8.2%
14–17B 7.7%
$97,471 ปริมาณ
$97,471 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
<5B
$16,497 ปริมาณ
2%
5–8B
$5,196 ปริมาณ
2%
8–11B
$14,594 ปริมาณ
12%
11–14B
$11,436 ปริมาณ
8%
14–17B
$3,141 ปริมาณ
8%
17–20B
$5,633 ปริมาณ
4%
20B+
$5,354 ปริมาณ
6%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$35,620 ปริมาณ
54%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 has yet to produce a public registration or listing date as of mid-September 2026, leaving the “no IPO by December 31, 2027” outcome at 53.8% implied probability. Secondary-market prices on Forge Global have stabilized near $10 billion after earlier prints around $8.5 billion, well below the 2021 peak of $15 billion and consistent with revenue estimates of roughly $600–800 million. Traders cite extended SEC review timelines, softer consumer-tech multiples, and monetization execution risks as the dominant factors anchoring probabilities in the sub-$14 billion and no-IPO buckets. Key near-term catalysts remain any public S-1 effectiveness or roadshow launch that could shift the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$97,471วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 has yet to produce a public registration or listing date as of mid-September 2026, leaving the “no IPO by December 31, 2027” outcome at 53.8% implied probability. Secondary-market prices on Forge Global have stabilized near $10 billion after earlier prints around $8.5 billion, well below the 2021 peak of $15 billion and consistent with revenue estimates of roughly $600–800 million. Traders cite extended SEC review timelines, softer consumer-tech multiples, and monetization execution risks as the dominant factors anchoring probabilities in the sub-$14 billion and no-IPO buckets. Key near-term catalysts remain any public S-1 effectiveness or roadshow launch that could shift the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$97,471วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Discord’s confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 has yet to produce a public registration or listing date as of mid-September 2026, leaving the “no IPO by December 31, 2027” outcome at 53.8% implied probability. Secondary-market prices on Forge Global have stabilized near $10 billion after earlier prints around $8.5 billion, well below the 2021 peak of $15 billion and consistent with revenue estimates of roughly $600–800 million. Traders cite extended SEC review timelines, softer consumer-tech multiples, and monetization execution risks as the dominant factors anchoring probabilities in the sub-$14 billion and no-IPO buckets. Key near-term catalysts remain any public S-1 effectiveness or roadshow launch that could shift the market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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