**Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate highs near 99°F for Austin on September 24, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover.** Persistent deep ridging over Texas has maintained unseasonably hot conditions by blocking cooler air intrusions, keeping daytime temperatures in the upper 90s to near 100°F with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. Trader consensus clusters around 96–99°F bins because short-term model runs show minor spreads from subtle differences in afternoon mixing and dew points. Updated NWS point forecasts and higher-resolution runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution. Historical late-September averages near 87°F underscore the anomalous warmth driving current positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on September 24?
96-97°F 28%
98-99°F 25%
92-93°F 17%
104-105°F 15%
89°F or below
6%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
17%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
25%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
15%
106-107°F
4%
108°F or higher
6%
96-97°F 28%
98-99°F 25%
92-93°F 17%
104-105°F 15%
89°F or below
6%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
17%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
25%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
15%
106-107°F
4%
108°F or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate highs near 99°F for Austin on September 24, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover.** Persistent deep ridging over Texas has maintained unseasonably hot conditions by blocking cooler air intrusions, keeping daytime temperatures in the upper 90s to near 100°F with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. Trader consensus clusters around 96–99°F bins because short-term model runs show minor spreads from subtle differences in afternoon mixing and dew points. Updated NWS point forecasts and higher-resolution runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution. Historical late-September averages near 87°F underscore the anomalous warmth driving current positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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