Trader consensus around 30–31°C for Hong Kong’s September 22 high reflects the latest model consensus and Hong Kong Observatory guidance pointing to partly cloudy conditions with easterly flow and isolated showers. High humidity near 70–75% and modest instability support afternoon convective development that could cap the peak just below or at 31°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September when highs typically range 29–32°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong steering patterns or tropical influences expected to alter the outcome before resolution. New observational data and updated forecasts overnight will refine the exact maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
32°C 18%
29°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
28%
31°C
35%
32°C
18%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
32°C 18%
29°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
25°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$129 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$40 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$51 ปริมาณ
4%
29°C
$20 ปริมาณ
11%
30°C
$244 ปริมาณ
28%
31°C
$171 ปริมาณ
35%
32°C
$123 ปริมาณ
18%
33°C
$101 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C
$130 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$311 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 30–31°C for Hong Kong’s September 22 high reflects the latest model consensus and Hong Kong Observatory guidance pointing to partly cloudy conditions with easterly flow and isolated showers. High humidity near 70–75% and modest instability support afternoon convective development that could cap the peak just below or at 31°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September when highs typically range 29–32°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong steering patterns or tropical influences expected to alter the outcome before resolution. New observational data and updated forecasts overnight will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,331วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 30–31°C for Hong Kong’s September 22 high reflects the latest model consensus and Hong Kong Observatory guidance pointing to partly cloudy conditions with easterly flow and isolated showers. High humidity near 70–75% and modest instability support afternoon convective development that could cap the peak just below or at 31°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September when highs typically range 29–32°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong steering patterns or tropical influences expected to alter the outcome before resolution. New observational data and updated forecasts overnight will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,331วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 30–31°C for Hong Kong’s September 22 high reflects the latest model consensus and Hong Kong Observatory guidance pointing to partly cloudy conditions with easterly flow and isolated showers. High humidity near 70–75% and modest instability support afternoon convective development that could cap the peak just below or at 31°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September when highs typically range 29–32°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong steering patterns or tropical influences expected to alter the outcome before resolution. New observational data and updated forecasts overnight will refine the exact maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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