Recent official forecasts for Cape Town on September 22 indicate a peak daytime high near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds, with minimal precipitation risk. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and local hourly guidance shows afternoon temperatures climbing into the low 30s °C before cooling, consistent with typical early-spring insolation and modest advection over the region. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and measurement site specifics that can alter the official maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon remain the key near-term drivers for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 22?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 22?
32°C 32%
31°C 25%
30°C 22%
33°C 13%
$12,338 ปริมาณ
$12,338 ปริมาณ
Sep 22, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
11%
30°C
22%
31°C
25%
32°C
32%
33°C
13%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 32%
31°C 25%
30°C 22%
33°C 13%
$12,338 ปริมาณ
$12,338 ปริมาณ
Sep 22, 2026
26°C or below
$183 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$167 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$576 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$1,317 ปริมาณ
11%
30°C
$852 ปริมาณ
22%
31°C
$1,292 ปริมาณ
25%
32°C
$3,463 ปริมาณ
32%
33°C
$1,716 ปริมาณ
13%
34°C
$690 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$453 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,628 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Cape Town on September 22 indicate a peak daytime high near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds, with minimal precipitation risk. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and local hourly guidance shows afternoon temperatures climbing into the low 30s °C before cooling, consistent with typical early-spring insolation and modest advection over the region. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and measurement site specifics that can alter the official maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon remain the key near-term drivers for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,338วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Cape Town on September 22 indicate a peak daytime high near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds, with minimal precipitation risk. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and local hourly guidance shows afternoon temperatures climbing into the low 30s °C before cooling, consistent with typical early-spring insolation and modest advection over the region. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and measurement site specifics that can alter the official maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon remain the key near-term drivers for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,338วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Cape Town on September 22 indicate a peak daytime high near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds, with minimal precipitation risk. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and local hourly guidance shows afternoon temperatures climbing into the low 30s °C before cooling, consistent with typical early-spring insolation and modest advection over the region. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and measurement site specifics that can alter the official maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon remain the key near-term drivers for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย