Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly airflow will bring cooler conditions to Wellington on September 23, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 10–12 °C amid partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 11 °C, as recent model runs show limited warming potential under persistent southerlies following a frontal passage. Spring climatology places the September average high near 14 °C, so the expected values reflect a modest negative anomaly driven by the wind shift rather than persistent high pressure. Traders appear to be pricing in the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range numerical weather prediction, with only modest probability assigned to outliers above 12 °C or below 10 °C pending final model updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on September 23?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 23?
11°C 58%
12°C 24%
10°C 15%
9°C 3%
ใหม่
$10,229 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,229 ปริมาณ
Sep 23, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
15%
11°C
58%
12°C
24%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 58%
12°C 24%
10°C 15%
9°C 3%
ใหม่
$10,229 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,229 ปริมาณ
Sep 23, 2026
5°C or below
$218 ปริมาณ
<1%
6°C
$226 ปริมาณ
<1%
7°C
$137 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$354 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$839 ปริมาณ
3%
10°C
$1,232 ปริมาณ
15%
11°C
$1,544 ปริมาณ
58%
12°C
$3,766 ปริมาณ
24%
13°C
$760 ปริมาณ
2%
14°C
$370 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C or higher
$785 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly airflow will bring cooler conditions to Wellington on September 23, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 10–12 °C amid partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 11 °C, as recent model runs show limited warming potential under persistent southerlies following a frontal passage. Spring climatology places the September average high near 14 °C, so the expected values reflect a modest negative anomaly driven by the wind shift rather than persistent high pressure. Traders appear to be pricing in the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range numerical weather prediction, with only modest probability assigned to outliers above 12 °C or below 10 °C pending final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,229วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly airflow will bring cooler conditions to Wellington on September 23, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 10–12 °C amid partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 11 °C, as recent model runs show limited warming potential under persistent southerlies following a frontal passage. Spring climatology places the September average high near 14 °C, so the expected values reflect a modest negative anomaly driven by the wind shift rather than persistent high pressure. Traders appear to be pricing in the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range numerical weather prediction, with only modest probability assigned to outliers above 12 °C or below 10 °C pending final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,229วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly airflow will bring cooler conditions to Wellington on September 23, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 10–12 °C amid partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 11 °C, as recent model runs show limited warming potential under persistent southerlies following a frontal passage. Spring climatology places the September average high near 14 °C, so the expected values reflect a modest negative anomaly driven by the wind shift rather than persistent high pressure. Traders appear to be pricing in the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range numerical weather prediction, with only modest probability assigned to outliers above 12 °C or below 10 °C pending final model updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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