Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and DWD output, indicate a high of 16–17°C in Munich on September 22 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds around 5–10 km/h, and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market’s strong 71.5% implied probability on 17°C, reflecting trader assessment of stable high-pressure influence and limited daytime heating. Historical averages for the date near 19°C highlight the cooler anomaly driven by recent northerly flow. With resolution imminent, any late model shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could adjust the final maximum, though current data favor the narrow 16–17°C band dominating sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on September 22?
17°C 76%
18°C 13%
16°C 12%
15°C <1%
$21,674 ปริมาณ
$21,674 ปริมาณ
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
12%
17°C
76%
18°C
13%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 76%
18°C 13%
16°C 12%
15°C <1%
$21,674 ปริมาณ
$21,674 ปริมาณ
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
12%
17°C
76%
18°C
13%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and DWD output, indicate a high of 16–17°C in Munich on September 22 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds around 5–10 km/h, and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market’s strong 71.5% implied probability on 17°C, reflecting trader assessment of stable high-pressure influence and limited daytime heating. Historical averages for the date near 19°C highlight the cooler anomaly driven by recent northerly flow. With resolution imminent, any late model shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could adjust the final maximum, though current data favor the narrow 16–17°C band dominating sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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