Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the Florida U.S. Senate special election due to her incumbency advantage in a state that has trended strongly Republican in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's double-digit 2024 margin. Appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio's term, Moody secured the GOP nomination with minimal opposition and benefits from superior fundraising, Trump endorsement, and polling leads averaging near 10 points. Angie Nixon's August 2026 Democratic primary upset over Alex Vindman elevated a progressive candidate whose profile aligns with limited historical success for Democrats in Florida Senate contests since 2012. Trader consensus at 92% for Moody reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 vote, though late developments such as turnout shifts, national political changes, or major campaign events could narrow the gap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$111,823 ปริมาณ
$111,823 ปริมาณ
Ashley Moody (R)
92%
Angie Nixon (D)
8%
$111,823 ปริมาณ
$111,823 ปริมาณ
Ashley Moody (R)
$56,363 ปริมาณ
92%
Angie Nixon (D)
$55,461 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the Florida U.S. Senate special election due to her incumbency advantage in a state that has trended strongly Republican in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's double-digit 2024 margin. Appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio's term, Moody secured the GOP nomination with minimal opposition and benefits from superior fundraising, Trump endorsement, and polling leads averaging near 10 points. Angie Nixon's August 2026 Democratic primary upset over Alex Vindman elevated a progressive candidate whose profile aligns with limited historical success for Democrats in Florida Senate contests since 2012. Trader consensus at 92% for Moody reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 vote, though late developments such as turnout shifts, national political changes, or major campaign events could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,823ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the Florida U.S. Senate special election due to her incumbency advantage in a state that has trended strongly Republican in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's double-digit 2024 margin. Appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio's term, Moody secured the GOP nomination with minimal opposition and benefits from superior fundraising, Trump endorsement, and polling leads averaging near 10 points. Angie Nixon's August 2026 Democratic primary upset over Alex Vindman elevated a progressive candidate whose profile aligns with limited historical success for Democrats in Florida Senate contests since 2012. Trader consensus at 92% for Moody reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 vote, though late developments such as turnout shifts, national political changes, or major campaign events could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,823ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the Florida U.S. Senate special election due to her incumbency advantage in a state that has trended strongly Republican in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's double-digit 2024 margin. Appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio's term, Moody secured the GOP nomination with minimal opposition and benefits from superior fundraising, Trump endorsement, and polling leads averaging near 10 points. Angie Nixon's August 2026 Democratic primary upset over Alex Vindman elevated a progressive candidate whose profile aligns with limited historical success for Democrats in Florida Senate contests since 2012. Trader consensus at 92% for Moody reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 vote, though late developments such as turnout shifts, national political changes, or major campaign events could narrow the gap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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