Lula holds the strongest position for first place in Amazonas in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent polling leads or technical ties in state surveys from June through August that show him at 38-44% against Flavio Bolsonaro at 35-39%, with all other registered candidates in low single digits or below. His incumbency advantages, established Workers’ Party organization, and stronger support across the interior municipalities—where nearly half the electorate resides—offset any narrower margins in Manaus. Fragmented opposition support among figures such as Renan Santos, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Augusto Cury further concentrates preferences on the two frontrunners. Recent state-level data and the approaching election date have shaped trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLula 72%
Flavio Bolsonaro 28%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$26,833 ปริมาณ
$26,833 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
72%
Flavio Bolsonaro
28%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 72%
Flavio Bolsonaro 28%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$26,833 ปริมาณ
$26,833 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$8,512 ปริมาณ
72%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$9,730 ปริมาณ
28%
Ronaldo Caiado
$751 ปริมาณ
<1%
Clariana Barao
$861 ปริมาณ
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$729 ปริมาณ
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$571 ปริมาณ
<1%
Hertz Dias
$747 ปริมาณ
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$836 ปริมาณ
<1%
Renan Santos
$1,149 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$855 ปริมาณ
<1%
Samara
$542 ปริมาณ
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$908 ปริมาณ
<1%
Zema
$641 ปริมาณ
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest position for first place in Amazonas in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent polling leads or technical ties in state surveys from June through August that show him at 38-44% against Flavio Bolsonaro at 35-39%, with all other registered candidates in low single digits or below. His incumbency advantages, established Workers’ Party organization, and stronger support across the interior municipalities—where nearly half the electorate resides—offset any narrower margins in Manaus. Fragmented opposition support among figures such as Renan Santos, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Augusto Cury further concentrates preferences on the two frontrunners. Recent state-level data and the approaching election date have shaped trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,833วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest position for first place in Amazonas in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent polling leads or technical ties in state surveys from June through August that show him at 38-44% against Flavio Bolsonaro at 35-39%, with all other registered candidates in low single digits or below. His incumbency advantages, established Workers’ Party organization, and stronger support across the interior municipalities—where nearly half the electorate resides—offset any narrower margins in Manaus. Fragmented opposition support among figures such as Renan Santos, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Augusto Cury further concentrates preferences on the two frontrunners. Recent state-level data and the approaching election date have shaped trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,833วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds the strongest position for first place in Amazonas in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent polling leads or technical ties in state surveys from June through August that show him at 38-44% against Flavio Bolsonaro at 35-39%, with all other registered candidates in low single digits or below. His incumbency advantages, established Workers’ Party organization, and stronger support across the interior municipalities—where nearly half the electorate resides—offset any narrower margins in Manaus. Fragmented opposition support among figures such as Renan Santos, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Augusto Cury further concentrates preferences on the two frontrunners. Recent state-level data and the approaching election date have shaped trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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