Republican Nick Begich III, the incumbent, advanced from the August 2026 top-four primary as the clear frontrunner and now faces independent Bill Hill in the November general election. Alaska’s consistent Republican presidential lean, combined with Begich’s name recognition and consolidated party support after prior cycles, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 83.5% Republican probability. Recent polling from multiple firms shows Begich ahead by double digits in both first-round and final-round ranked-choice scenarios. Democratic candidates received limited primary support and the leading contender withdrew, leaving no viable path for that party. The race remains subject to standard uncertainties around turnout, ranked-choice vote flows, and any late developments before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAK-AL House Election Winner
AK-AL House Election Winner
$39,857 ปริมาณ
$39,857 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
8%
$39,857 ปริมาณ
$39,857 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$10,113 ปริมาณ
84%
Democratic Party
$29,744 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Nick Begich III, the incumbent, advanced from the August 2026 top-four primary as the clear frontrunner and now faces independent Bill Hill in the November general election. Alaska’s consistent Republican presidential lean, combined with Begich’s name recognition and consolidated party support after prior cycles, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 83.5% Republican probability. Recent polling from multiple firms shows Begich ahead by double digits in both first-round and final-round ranked-choice scenarios. Democratic candidates received limited primary support and the leading contender withdrew, leaving no viable path for that party. The race remains subject to standard uncertainties around turnout, ranked-choice vote flows, and any late developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,857วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Nick Begich III, the incumbent, advanced from the August 2026 top-four primary as the clear frontrunner and now faces independent Bill Hill in the November general election. Alaska’s consistent Republican presidential lean, combined with Begich’s name recognition and consolidated party support after prior cycles, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 83.5% Republican probability. Recent polling from multiple firms shows Begich ahead by double digits in both first-round and final-round ranked-choice scenarios. Democratic candidates received limited primary support and the leading contender withdrew, leaving no viable path for that party. The race remains subject to standard uncertainties around turnout, ranked-choice vote flows, and any late developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,857วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Nick Begich III, the incumbent, advanced from the August 2026 top-four primary as the clear frontrunner and now faces independent Bill Hill in the November general election. Alaska’s consistent Republican presidential lean, combined with Begich’s name recognition and consolidated party support after prior cycles, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 83.5% Republican probability. Recent polling from multiple firms shows Begich ahead by double digits in both first-round and final-round ranked-choice scenarios. Democratic candidates received limited primary support and the leading contender withdrew, leaving no viable path for that party. The race remains subject to standard uncertainties around turnout, ranked-choice vote flows, and any late developments before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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