US officials have consistently opposed any monetization of transit through the Strait of Hormuz, citing international law under UNCLOS that prohibits tolls on transit passage while permitting only narrowly defined service fees. Following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum ceasefire with Iran, a 60-day toll-free window expired amid ongoing disputes, with Iran and Oman advancing proposals for joint navigational or environmental charges. President Trump briefly floated a 20% US reimbursement fee in July before reversing course in favor of Gulf investment deals and targeted blockades. Recent September 2026 escalations, including Iranian missile attempts and US strikes on vessels, have heightened risks of renewed closure or unilateral US security arrangements. Traders monitor diplomatic talks with Oman, Iranian Revolutionary Guard actions, and any executive or legislative moves on maritime policy that could shift the probability of US-imposed charges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСША взимают сборы с Ормуза...?
США взимают сборы с Ормуза...?
$972,968 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря
4%
$972,968 Объем
31 декабря
$104,664 Объем
4%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.US officials have consistently opposed any monetization of transit through the Strait of Hormuz, citing international law under UNCLOS that prohibits tolls on transit passage while permitting only narrowly defined service fees. Following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum ceasefire with Iran, a 60-day toll-free window expired amid ongoing disputes, with Iran and Oman advancing proposals for joint navigational or environmental charges. President Trump briefly floated a 20% US reimbursement fee in July before reversing course in favor of Gulf investment deals and targeted blockades. Recent September 2026 escalations, including Iranian missile attempts and US strikes on vessels, have heightened risks of renewed closure or unilateral US security arrangements. Traders monitor diplomatic talks with Oman, Iranian Revolutionary Guard actions, and any executive or legislative moves on maritime policy that could shift the probability of US-imposed charges.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Объем
$972,968Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.US officials have consistently opposed any monetization of transit through the Strait of Hormuz, citing international law under UNCLOS that prohibits tolls on transit passage while permitting only narrowly defined service fees. Following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum ceasefire with Iran, a 60-day toll-free window expired amid ongoing disputes, with Iran and Oman advancing proposals for joint navigational or environmental charges. President Trump briefly floated a 20% US reimbursement fee in July before reversing course in favor of Gulf investment deals and targeted blockades. Recent September 2026 escalations, including Iranian missile attempts and US strikes on vessels, have heightened risks of renewed closure or unilateral US security arrangements. Traders monitor diplomatic talks with Oman, Iranian Revolutionary Guard actions, and any executive or legislative moves on maritime policy that could shift the probability of US-imposed charges.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$972,968Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...US officials have consistently opposed any monetization of transit through the Strait of Hormuz, citing international law under UNCLOS that prohibits tolls on transit passage while permitting only narrowly defined service fees. Following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum ceasefire with Iran, a 60-day toll-free window expired amid ongoing disputes, with Iran and Oman advancing proposals for joint navigational or environmental charges. President Trump briefly floated a 20% US reimbursement fee in July before reversing course in favor of Gulf investment deals and targeted blockades. Recent September 2026 escalations, including Iranian missile attempts and US strikes on vessels, have heightened risks of renewed closure or unilateral US security arrangements. Traders monitor diplomatic talks with Oman, Iranian Revolutionary Guard actions, and any executive or legislative moves on maritime policy that could shift the probability of US-imposed charges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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