Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils in April 2026, following National Electoral Commission advice citing drought, regional security issues, and voter-registration challenges. This shifted the parliamentary vote—previously slated for May 2026—to March 2027 or later, aligning with the market’s 98.4% consensus on no election before 2027. The three authorized national parties (Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID) plus the newer Kaah party continue preparations under the six-region proportional system, but the extension reflects institutional focus on operational readiness amid ongoing eastern-region instability. An unexpected reversal would require a new Guurti vote, rapid security or climatic improvements, or successful legal challenge to the mandate extension before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Сомалиленде
Победитель парламентских выборов в Сомалиленде
Выборы не раньше 2027 года 98.4%
Справедливость и благосостояние (UCID) <1%
Кулмийе <1%
Ваддани <1%
$111,861 Объем
$111,861 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Выборы не раньше 2027 года
98%
Справедливость и благосостояние (UCID)
1%
Кулмийе
<1%
Ваддани
<1%
Выборы не раньше 2027 года 98.4%
Справедливость и благосостояние (UCID) <1%
Кулмийе <1%
Ваддани <1%
$111,861 Объем
$111,861 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Выборы не раньше 2027 года
$98,207 Объем
98%
Справедливость и благосостояние (UCID)
$5,116 Объем
1%
Кулмийе
$3,783 Объем
<1%
Ваддани
$4,756 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils in April 2026, following National Electoral Commission advice citing drought, regional security issues, and voter-registration challenges. This shifted the parliamentary vote—previously slated for May 2026—to March 2027 or later, aligning with the market’s 98.4% consensus on no election before 2027. The three authorized national parties (Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID) plus the newer Kaah party continue preparations under the six-region proportional system, but the extension reflects institutional focus on operational readiness amid ongoing eastern-region instability. An unexpected reversal would require a new Guurti vote, rapid security or climatic improvements, or successful legal challenge to the mandate extension before year-end.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Объем
$111,861Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils in April 2026, following National Electoral Commission advice citing drought, regional security issues, and voter-registration challenges. This shifted the parliamentary vote—previously slated for May 2026—to March 2027 or later, aligning with the market’s 98.4% consensus on no election before 2027. The three authorized national parties (Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID) plus the newer Kaah party continue preparations under the six-region proportional system, but the extension reflects institutional focus on operational readiness amid ongoing eastern-region instability. An unexpected reversal would require a new Guurti vote, rapid security or climatic improvements, or successful legal challenge to the mandate extension before year-end.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Объем
$111,861Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils in April 2026, following National Electoral Commission advice citing drought, regional security issues, and voter-registration challenges. This shifted the parliamentary vote—previously slated for May 2026—to March 2027 or later, aligning with the market’s 98.4% consensus on no election before 2027. The three authorized national parties (Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID) plus the newer Kaah party continue preparations under the six-region proportional system, but the extension reflects institutional focus on operational readiness amid ongoing eastern-region instability. An unexpected reversal would require a new Guurti vote, rapid security or climatic improvements, or successful legal challenge to the mandate extension before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Получит ли Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в Латвии в 2026 году?
85%
Да
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99%
Да
Сможет ли Движение Амаль получить наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в Ливане в 2026 году?
1%
Да
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