**New People secured roughly 20 seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, locking in the market’s overwhelming <35 outcome.** Preliminary Central Election Commission figures gave the party about 7.96% of the federal party-list vote—behind United Russia’s commanding 57.8% share and the other systemic parties—while single-mandate results added only a handful of seats under Russia’s mixed system. As a Kremlin-permitted liberal-leaning formation focused on business and urban voters, New People expanded modestly from its 2021 debut but remained capped by United Russia’s dominance in districts and the overall managed political environment. Final tallies or minor redistributions are unlikely to alter this total enough to approach the 35-seat threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено<35 97.8%
85+ 1.9%
35–44 1.0%
55–64 <1%
$140,452 Объем
$140,452 Объем
<35
98%
35–44
1%
45–54
<1%
55–64
1%
65–74
1%
75–84
<1%
85+
2%
<35 97.8%
85+ 1.9%
35–44 1.0%
55–64 <1%
$140,452 Объем
$140,452 Объем
<35
98%
35–44
1%
45–54
<1%
55–64
1%
65–74
1%
75–84
<1%
85+
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**New People secured roughly 20 seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, locking in the market’s overwhelming <35 outcome.** Preliminary Central Election Commission figures gave the party about 7.96% of the federal party-list vote—behind United Russia’s commanding 57.8% share and the other systemic parties—while single-mandate results added only a handful of seats under Russia’s mixed system. As a Kremlin-permitted liberal-leaning formation focused on business and urban voters, New People expanded modestly from its 2021 debut but remained capped by United Russia’s dominance in districts and the overall managed political environment. Final tallies or minor redistributions are unlikely to alter this total enough to approach the 35-seat threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Получит ли «Единая Россия» от 340 до 354 мест на следующих выборах в Государственную Думу России?
Получит ли ЛДПР (Либерально-демократическая партия России) менее 45 мест на следующих выборах в Государственную Думу России?
Получит ли партия «Справедливая Россия — За правду» (СРЗП) хотя бы одно место на следующих выборах в Государственную Думу России?
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы