**Recent polling from government-linked firms like FOM and WCIOM places KPRF vote shares between roughly 11% and 15% ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election, projecting 58–73 seats under current trends.** Traders price the <50 seat outcome highest because the mixed electoral system—225 proportional list seats above a 5% threshold plus 225 single-member districts—amplifies documented administrative pressures on the party, including candidate arrests in traditional strongholds such as Altai Krai and reported efforts to sideline competitive district contenders. Competition from New People and LDPR for second place further fragments the opposition vote, while KPRF’s 2021 result of 57 seats serves as the recent benchmark. These structural and campaign dynamics position modest or reduced totals as the prevailing trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено<50 61%
50–59 24%
60–69 9%
80–89 5.6%
<50
61%
50–59
24%
60–69
9%
70–79
3%
80–89
6%
90–99
5%
100+
3%
<50 61%
50–59 24%
60–69 9%
80–89 5.6%
<50
61%
50–59
24%
60–69
9%
70–79
3%
80–89
6%
90–99
5%
100+
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 8:52 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling from government-linked firms like FOM and WCIOM places KPRF vote shares between roughly 11% and 15% ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election, projecting 58–73 seats under current trends.** Traders price the <50 seat outcome highest because the mixed electoral system—225 proportional list seats above a 5% threshold plus 225 single-member districts—amplifies documented administrative pressures on the party, including candidate arrests in traditional strongholds such as Altai Krai and reported efforts to sideline competitive district contenders. Competition from New People and LDPR for second place further fragments the opposition vote, while KPRF’s 2021 result of 57 seats serves as the recent benchmark. These structural and campaign dynamics position modest or reduced totals as the prevailing trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Получит ли ЛДПР (Либерально-демократическая партия России) менее 45 мест на следующих выборах в Государственную Думу России?
Получит ли «Единая Россия» от 325 до 339 мест на следующих выборах в Государственную думу России?
Получат ли "Новые люди" (НЛ) менее 35 мест на следующих выборах в Государственную Думу России?
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