Recent polls during the 2026 Quebec election campaign place the CAQ in second behind the PQ at around 23-24% support, after gains of several points since May, while the PLQ has slipped to third near 22%. This shift reflects stronger CAQ performance among francophone voters outside Montreal and in suburban areas, alongside voter movement on issues such as cost of living, U.S. tariffs, and language policy. The PQ's consistent lead reduces its prospects for second place, and smaller parties like the PCQ and QS trail further back with limited regional strength. Traders appear to view these trends as favoring the CAQ for second-place finish on October 5, though late-campaign volatility and undecided voters could alter positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCAQ 67%
ПКК 21%
Квебекская партия (PQ) 16%
PVQ <1%
$17,122 Объем
$17,122 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
CAQ
67%
ПКК
21%
Квебекская партия (PQ)
16%
PVQ
1%
QS
<1%
PCQ
<1%
CAQ 67%
ПКК 21%
Квебекская партия (PQ) 16%
PVQ <1%
$17,122 Объем
$17,122 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
CAQ
$4,715 Объем
67%
ПКК
$4,667 Объем
21%
Квебекская партия (PQ)
$4,112 Объем
16%
PVQ
$1,226 Объем
1%
QS
$1,498 Объем
<1%
PCQ
$904 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls during the 2026 Quebec election campaign place the CAQ in second behind the PQ at around 23-24% support, after gains of several points since May, while the PLQ has slipped to third near 22%. This shift reflects stronger CAQ performance among francophone voters outside Montreal and in suburban areas, alongside voter movement on issues such as cost of living, U.S. tariffs, and language policy. The PQ's consistent lead reduces its prospects for second place, and smaller parties like the PCQ and QS trail further back with limited regional strength. Traders appear to view these trends as favoring the CAQ for second-place finish on October 5, though late-campaign volatility and undecided voters could alter positioning.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Объем
$17,122Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls during the 2026 Quebec election campaign place the CAQ in second behind the PQ at around 23-24% support, after gains of several points since May, while the PLQ has slipped to third near 22%. This shift reflects stronger CAQ performance among francophone voters outside Montreal and in suburban areas, alongside voter movement on issues such as cost of living, U.S. tariffs, and language policy. The PQ's consistent lead reduces its prospects for second place, and smaller parties like the PCQ and QS trail further back with limited regional strength. Traders appear to view these trends as favoring the CAQ for second-place finish on October 5, though late-campaign volatility and undecided voters could alter positioning.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Объем
$17,122Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls during the 2026 Quebec election campaign place the CAQ in second behind the PQ at around 23-24% support, after gains of several points since May, while the PLQ has slipped to third near 22%. This shift reflects stronger CAQ performance among francophone voters outside Montreal and in suburban areas, alongside voter movement on issues such as cost of living, U.S. tariffs, and language policy. The PQ's consistent lead reduces its prospects for second place, and smaller parties like the PCQ and QS trail further back with limited regional strength. Traders appear to view these trends as favoring the CAQ for second-place finish on October 5, though late-campaign volatility and undecided voters could alter positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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