Recent polling from late August shows a tight contest for the top Senate spot in Rio Grande do Sul, with Marcel Van Hattem (Novo) and Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL) often leading or tied statistically alongside Ubiratã Sanderson (PL), Germano Rigotto (MDB), and Paulo Pimenta (PT). Multiple surveys register high undecided or blank votes, reflecting fluid voter preferences ahead of the October 4 first round. The two-seat structure and overlapping support across center-right, center, and left-leaning blocs keep first-place probabilities compressed. No major late shifts in endorsements, debates, or campaign events have emerged to separate frontrunners, sustaining trader consensus around narrow margins for the leading names.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 1-е место
Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 1-е место
Marcel Van Hattem 59%
Manuela D'Ávila 34%
Sanderson 8.5%
Rigotto 5.4%
$30,071 Объем
$30,071 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Marcel Van Hattem
59%
Manuela D'Ávila
34%
Sanderson
9%
Rigotto
5%
Regis Ethur
5%
Pimenta
3%
Tania Peres
1%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
1%
Luciano do MLB
1%
Ric Jones
<1%
Renato Jaguarão
<1%
Milton Cardoso
<1%
Frederico Antunes
<1%
Marcel Van Hattem 59%
Manuela D'Ávila 34%
Sanderson 8.5%
Rigotto 5.4%
$30,071 Объем
$30,071 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Marcel Van Hattem
$11,433 Объем
59%
Manuela D'Ávila
$11,994 Объем
34%
Sanderson
$984 Объем
9%
Rigotto
$495 Объем
5%
Regis Ethur
$471 Объем
5%
Pimenta
$1,324 Объем
3%
Tania Peres
$530 Объем
1%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
$471 Объем
1%
Luciano do MLB
$424 Объем
1%
Ric Jones
$424 Объем
<1%
Renato Jaguarão
$389 Объем
<1%
Milton Cardoso
$443 Объем
<1%
Frederico Antunes
$689 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows a tight contest for the top Senate spot in Rio Grande do Sul, with Marcel Van Hattem (Novo) and Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL) often leading or tied statistically alongside Ubiratã Sanderson (PL), Germano Rigotto (MDB), and Paulo Pimenta (PT). Multiple surveys register high undecided or blank votes, reflecting fluid voter preferences ahead of the October 4 first round. The two-seat structure and overlapping support across center-right, center, and left-leaning blocs keep first-place probabilities compressed. No major late shifts in endorsements, debates, or campaign events have emerged to separate frontrunners, sustaining trader consensus around narrow margins for the leading names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Объем
$30,071Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows a tight contest for the top Senate spot in Rio Grande do Sul, with Marcel Van Hattem (Novo) and Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL) often leading or tied statistically alongside Ubiratã Sanderson (PL), Germano Rigotto (MDB), and Paulo Pimenta (PT). Multiple surveys register high undecided or blank votes, reflecting fluid voter preferences ahead of the October 4 first round. The two-seat structure and overlapping support across center-right, center, and left-leaning blocs keep first-place probabilities compressed. No major late shifts in endorsements, debates, or campaign events have emerged to separate frontrunners, sustaining trader consensus around narrow margins for the leading names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$30,071Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August shows a tight contest for the top Senate spot in Rio Grande do Sul, with Marcel Van Hattem (Novo) and Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL) often leading or tied statistically alongside Ubiratã Sanderson (PL), Germano Rigotto (MDB), and Paulo Pimenta (PT). Multiple surveys register high undecided or blank votes, reflecting fluid voter preferences ahead of the October 4 first round. The two-seat structure and overlapping support across center-right, center, and left-leaning blocs keep first-place probabilities compressed. No major late shifts in endorsements, debates, or campaign events have emerged to separate frontrunners, sustaining trader consensus around narrow margins for the leading names.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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31%
Да
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50%
Да
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