Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows incumbent senator Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in the October 4 election, where voters select two candidates. This leaves the second position competitive among Zenaide Maia (PSD), who seeks reelection, and challengers including Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL). A September Exatus survey placed Maia second in combined vote intentions but found the next group statistically tied within the margin of error. Party coalitions, regional turnout patterns, and second-preference voting dynamics continue to shape positioning ahead of the vote count, keeping implied probabilities for second place closely matched across leading contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЗенайд Майя 46%
Саманда де Лула 13%
Рафаэль Мотта 11.6%
Стивенсон Валентим 3.3%
$21,955 Объем
$21,955 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Зенайд Майя
49%
Саманда де Лула
13%
Рафаэль Мотта
12%
Стивенсон Валентим
3%
Полковник Элиу
2%
Лусиана Манду
<1%
Росалия Фернандес
<1%
Профессор Гильерме
<1%
Кловис Коста из Coletivo Nós
<1%
Тércio Tinôco
<1%
Линарес Жибоя
<1%
Соня Годейро
<1%
Гари Венделл Батиста
<1%
Сандро Пиментел
<1%
Зенайд Майя 46%
Саманда де Лула 13%
Рафаэль Мотта 11.6%
Стивенсон Валентим 3.3%
$21,955 Объем
$21,955 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Зенайд Майя
$3,526 Объем
49%
Саманда де Лула
$6,375 Объем
13%
Рафаэль Мотта
$3,226 Объем
12%
Стивенсон Валентим
$2,226 Объем
3%
Полковник Элиу
$744 Объем
2%
Лусиана Манду
$704 Объем
<1%
Росалия Фернандес
$753 Объем
<1%
Профессор Гильерме
$609 Объем
<1%
Кловис Коста из Coletivo Nós
$656 Объем
<1%
Тércio Tinôco
$747 Объем
<1%
Линарес Жибоя
$710 Объем
<1%
Соня Годейро
$585 Объем
<1%
Гари Венделл Батиста
$511 Объем
<1%
Сандро Пиментел
$585 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows incumbent senator Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in the October 4 election, where voters select two candidates. This leaves the second position competitive among Zenaide Maia (PSD), who seeks reelection, and challengers including Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL). A September Exatus survey placed Maia second in combined vote intentions but found the next group statistically tied within the margin of error. Party coalitions, regional turnout patterns, and second-preference voting dynamics continue to shape positioning ahead of the vote count, keeping implied probabilities for second place closely matched across leading contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Объем
$21,955Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows incumbent senator Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in the October 4 election, where voters select two candidates. This leaves the second position competitive among Zenaide Maia (PSD), who seeks reelection, and challengers including Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL). A September Exatus survey placed Maia second in combined vote intentions but found the next group statistically tied within the margin of error. Party coalitions, regional turnout patterns, and second-preference voting dynamics continue to shape positioning ahead of the vote count, keeping implied probabilities for second place closely matched across leading contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$21,955Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows incumbent senator Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in the October 4 election, where voters select two candidates. This leaves the second position competitive among Zenaide Maia (PSD), who seeks reelection, and challengers including Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL). A September Exatus survey placed Maia second in combined vote intentions but found the next group statistically tied within the margin of error. Party coalitions, regional turnout patterns, and second-preference voting dynamics continue to shape positioning ahead of the vote count, keeping implied probabilities for second place closely matched across leading contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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