The closely contested Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented field with the Parti Québécois leading seat projections but facing a split federalist vote, which traders see as likely sustaining moderate engagement near historical benchmarks around 66 percent. Recent polling stability, expanded advance voting options from September 27, and roughly 325,000 new eligible voters could support turnout in the 66-70 percent range, while regional three-way races and sovereignty debates provide localized mobilization incentives without broad surges. Weather on polling day, youth participation patterns, and late campaign intensity remain key variables that could shift probabilities toward higher or lower brackets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено66-70% 30%
70-74% 22%
62–66% 21%
58-62% 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 окт. 2026 г.
<58%
9%
58-62%
11%
62–66%
21%
66-70%
30%
70-74%
23%
74%+
9%
66-70% 30%
70-74% 22%
62–66% 21%
58-62% 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 окт. 2026 г.
<58%
$374 Объем
9%
58-62%
$100 Объем
11%
62–66%
$103 Объем
21%
66-70%
$191 Объем
30%
70-74%
$142 Объем
23%
74%+
$233 Объем
9%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely contested Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented field with the Parti Québécois leading seat projections but facing a split federalist vote, which traders see as likely sustaining moderate engagement near historical benchmarks around 66 percent. Recent polling stability, expanded advance voting options from September 27, and roughly 325,000 new eligible voters could support turnout in the 66-70 percent range, while regional three-way races and sovereignty debates provide localized mobilization incentives without broad surges. Weather on polling day, youth participation patterns, and late campaign intensity remain key variables that could shift probabilities toward higher or lower brackets.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Объем
$1,143Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely contested Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented field with the Parti Québécois leading seat projections but facing a split federalist vote, which traders see as likely sustaining moderate engagement near historical benchmarks around 66 percent. Recent polling stability, expanded advance voting options from September 27, and roughly 325,000 new eligible voters could support turnout in the 66-70 percent range, while regional three-way races and sovereignty debates provide localized mobilization incentives without broad surges. Weather on polling day, youth participation patterns, and late campaign intensity remain key variables that could shift probabilities toward higher or lower brackets.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Объем
$1,143Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented field with the Parti Québécois leading seat projections but facing a split federalist vote, which traders see as likely sustaining moderate engagement near historical benchmarks around 66 percent. Recent polling stability, expanded advance voting options from September 27, and roughly 325,000 new eligible voters could support turnout in the 66-70 percent range, while regional three-way races and sovereignty debates provide localized mobilization incentives without broad surges. Weather on polling day, youth participation patterns, and late campaign intensity remain key variables that could shift probabilities toward higher or lower brackets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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