**Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment for Best Documentary Feature reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner.** Festival premieres, critical acclaim, and distribution deals have elevated Once Upon a Time in Harlem and American Doctor as the clearest early standouts, yet their modest implied probabilities underscore the lengthy timeline to nominations in January 2027. Harlem benefits from rapturous reviews for its 1972 footage of Harlem Renaissance figures, Neon acquisition, and recent prizes including the Library of Congress Lavine/Ken Burns award ahead of its October theatrical release. American Doctor has drawn strong audience and critical response for its on-the-ground account of U.S. physicians treating children in Gaza, highlighted by festival awards and a Watermelon Pictures release. Other contenders such as Nuisance Bear, One in a Million, and Musk remain in play through Sundance momentum and director pedigree, but the broad clustering around “Other” signals that fall festival results, guild attention, and late-year releases will likely determine which films consolidate support among documentary branch voters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 15%
American Doctor 12%
One in a Million 8%
Tutu 4.6%
$24,349 Объем
$24,349 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
15%
American Doctor
12%
One in a Million
8%
Tutu
5%
Musk
4%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
4%
Nuisance Bear
3%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 15%
American Doctor 12%
One in a Million 8%
Tutu 4.6%
$24,349 Объем
$24,349 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
$2,095 Объем
15%
American Doctor
$11,577 Объем
12%
One in a Million
$2,129 Объем
8%
Tutu
$699 Объем
5%
Musk
$51 Объем
4%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
$139 Объем
4%
Nuisance Bear
$7,659 Объем
3%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment for Best Documentary Feature reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner.** Festival premieres, critical acclaim, and distribution deals have elevated Once Upon a Time in Harlem and American Doctor as the clearest early standouts, yet their modest implied probabilities underscore the lengthy timeline to nominations in January 2027. Harlem benefits from rapturous reviews for its 1972 footage of Harlem Renaissance figures, Neon acquisition, and recent prizes including the Library of Congress Lavine/Ken Burns award ahead of its October theatrical release. American Doctor has drawn strong audience and critical response for its on-the-ground account of U.S. physicians treating children in Gaza, highlighted by festival awards and a Watermelon Pictures release. Other contenders such as Nuisance Bear, One in a Million, and Musk remain in play through Sundance momentum and director pedigree, but the broad clustering around “Other” signals that fall festival results, guild attention, and late-year releases will likely determine which films consolidate support among documentary branch voters.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Объем
$24,349Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment for Best Documentary Feature reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner.** Festival premieres, critical acclaim, and distribution deals have elevated Once Upon a Time in Harlem and American Doctor as the clearest early standouts, yet their modest implied probabilities underscore the lengthy timeline to nominations in January 2027. Harlem benefits from rapturous reviews for its 1972 footage of Harlem Renaissance figures, Neon acquisition, and recent prizes including the Library of Congress Lavine/Ken Burns award ahead of its October theatrical release. American Doctor has drawn strong audience and critical response for its on-the-ground account of U.S. physicians treating children in Gaza, highlighted by festival awards and a Watermelon Pictures release. Other contenders such as Nuisance Bear, One in a Million, and Musk remain in play through Sundance momentum and director pedigree, but the broad clustering around “Other” signals that fall festival results, guild attention, and late-year releases will likely determine which films consolidate support among documentary branch voters.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$24,349Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment for Best Documentary Feature reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner.** Festival premieres, critical acclaim, and distribution deals have elevated Once Upon a Time in Harlem and American Doctor as the clearest early standouts, yet their modest implied probabilities underscore the lengthy timeline to nominations in January 2027. Harlem benefits from rapturous reviews for its 1972 footage of Harlem Renaissance figures, Neon acquisition, and recent prizes including the Library of Congress Lavine/Ken Burns award ahead of its October theatrical release. American Doctor has drawn strong audience and critical response for its on-the-ground account of U.S. physicians treating children in Gaza, highlighted by festival awards and a Watermelon Pictures release. Other contenders such as Nuisance Bear, One in a Million, and Musk remain in play through Sundance momentum and director pedigree, but the broad clustering around “Other” signals that fall festival results, guild attention, and late-year releases will likely determine which films consolidate support among documentary branch voters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы