Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds a commanding lead in the VMA Best Pop market at 66% implied probability, driven by her nine total nominations, the track’s strong commercial performance from the Life of a Showgirl era, and her unmatched VMA history with 30 prior wins. The August 18 nominations placed her alongside Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Olivia Rodrigo, Charli XCX, LISA, and Tate McRae in the category, yet Swift’s broader industry narrative and fan-voting strength create separation. With the Sept. 27 ceremony just days away and fan voting open through Sept. 25, momentum from recent chart and streaming data continues to favor the frontrunner while leaving room for late shifts typical in entertainment awards.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоVMA Best Pop 2026
VMA Best Pop 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Тейлор Свифт) 66%
House Tour (Сабрина Карпентер) 35%
Drop Dead (Оливия Родриго) 12%
Nobody's Girl (Тейт МакРэй) 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 сент. 2026 г.
The Fate of Ophelia (Тейлор Свифт)
66%
House Tour (Сабрина Карпентер)
35%
Drop Dead (Оливия Родриго)
12%
Nobody's Girl (Тейт МакРэй)
12%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ариана Гранде)
9%
Dream (Лиса при участии Кентаро Сакагути)
8%
SS26 (Charli XCX)
5%
The Fate of Ophelia (Тейлор Свифт) 66%
House Tour (Сабрина Карпентер) 35%
Drop Dead (Оливия Родриго) 12%
Nobody's Girl (Тейт МакРэй) 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 сент. 2026 г.
The Fate of Ophelia (Тейлор Свифт)
$20 Объем
66%
House Tour (Сабрина Карпентер)
$0 Объем
35%
Drop Dead (Оливия Родриго)
$0 Объем
12%
Nobody's Girl (Тейт МакРэй)
$0 Объем
12%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ариана Гранде)
$0 Объем
9%
Dream (Лиса при участии Кентаро Сакагути)
$0 Объем
8%
SS26 (Charli XCX)
$0 Объем
5%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds a commanding lead in the VMA Best Pop market at 66% implied probability, driven by her nine total nominations, the track’s strong commercial performance from the Life of a Showgirl era, and her unmatched VMA history with 30 prior wins. The August 18 nominations placed her alongside Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Olivia Rodrigo, Charli XCX, LISA, and Tate McRae in the category, yet Swift’s broader industry narrative and fan-voting strength create separation. With the Sept. 27 ceremony just days away and fan voting open through Sept. 25, momentum from recent chart and streaming data continues to favor the frontrunner while leaving room for late shifts typical in entertainment awards.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Объем
$20Дата окончания
28 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds a commanding lead in the VMA Best Pop market at 66% implied probability, driven by her nine total nominations, the track’s strong commercial performance from the Life of a Showgirl era, and her unmatched VMA history with 30 prior wins. The August 18 nominations placed her alongside Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Olivia Rodrigo, Charli XCX, LISA, and Tate McRae in the category, yet Swift’s broader industry narrative and fan-voting strength create separation. With the Sept. 27 ceremony just days away and fan voting open through Sept. 25, momentum from recent chart and streaming data continues to favor the frontrunner while leaving room for late shifts typical in entertainment awards.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$20Дата окончания
28 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds a commanding lead in the VMA Best Pop market at 66% implied probability, driven by her nine total nominations, the track’s strong commercial performance from the Life of a Showgirl era, and her unmatched VMA history with 30 prior wins. The August 18 nominations placed her alongside Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Olivia Rodrigo, Charli XCX, LISA, and Tate McRae in the category, yet Swift’s broader industry narrative and fan-voting strength create separation. With the Sept. 27 ceremony just days away and fan voting open through Sept. 25, momentum from recent chart and streaming data continues to favor the frontrunner while leaving room for late shifts typical in entertainment awards.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Выиграет ли «The Fate of Ophelia» Тейлор Свифт приз «Видео года» на MTV Video Music Awards 2026?
56%
Да
Выиграет ли «Confessions II – The Film» Мадонны премию «Лучший танцевальный клип» на MTV Video Music Awards 2026 года?
35%
Да
Получит ли «The Cure» Оливии Родриго награду «Лучший альтернативный» на MTV Video Music Awards 2026?
42%
Да
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