The early stage of the 2026 awards cycle, with most qualifying films still in release or post-production, drives the diffuse trader sentiment across the Oscars 2027 Best Actor field. No single frontrunner has emerged, leaving implied probabilities fragmented among dozens of names. Matt Damon holds the highest share at 26.5%, followed by John Malkovich at 21.9% and Andrew Scott at 20%, reflecting anticipation around their upcoming projects rather than confirmed momentum. Established stars like Tom Cruise sit at 17.5% while newer contenders trail below 4%. Guild nominations, critics' awards, and festival premieres in the coming months will likely consolidate support as voting bodies begin signaling preferences.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено«Оскар-2027»: лучший актер
Мэтт Дэймон 27%
Джон Малкович 21.8%
Эндрю Скотт 20%
Том Круз 18%
$108,333 Объем
$108,333 Объем

Мэтт Дэймон
27%

Джон Малкович
22%

Эндрю Скотт
20%

Том Круз
18%

Роберт Паттинсон
9%

Джереми Стронг
3%

Тимоти Шаламе
3%

Себастиан Стэн
3%

Райан Гослинг
2%

Хавьер Бардем
1%

Педро Паскаль
1%

Джаафар Джексон
1%

Сэм Рокуэлл
1%

Брэд Питт
<1%

Адам Драйвер
<1%

Роберт Арамио
<1%

Джош О'Коннор
<1%

Джон Туртурро
<1%
Мэтт Дэймон 27%
Джон Малкович 21.8%
Эндрю Скотт 20%
Том Круз 18%
$108,333 Объем
$108,333 Объем

Мэтт Дэймон
27%

Джон Малкович
22%

Эндрю Скотт
20%

Том Круз
18%

Роберт Паттинсон
9%

Джереми Стронг
3%

Тимоти Шаламе
3%

Себастиан Стэн
3%

Райан Гослинг
2%

Хавьер Бардем
1%

Педро Паскаль
1%

Джаафар Джексон
1%

Сэм Рокуэлл
1%

Брэд Питт
<1%

Адам Драйвер
<1%

Роберт Арамио
<1%

Джош О'Коннор
<1%

Джон Туртурро
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The early stage of the 2026 awards cycle, with most qualifying films still in release or post-production, drives the diffuse trader sentiment across the Oscars 2027 Best Actor field. No single frontrunner has emerged, leaving implied probabilities fragmented among dozens of names. Matt Damon holds the highest share at 26.5%, followed by John Malkovich at 21.9% and Andrew Scott at 20%, reflecting anticipation around their upcoming projects rather than confirmed momentum. Established stars like Tom Cruise sit at 17.5% while newer contenders trail below 4%. Guild nominations, critics' awards, and festival premieres in the coming months will likely consolidate support as voting bodies begin signaling preferences.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы