Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 62.5% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign that produced over 60 goals across all competitions for Bayern Munich, domestic titles including the Bundesliga, and a strong World Cup showing with England reaching the semifinals. Spain's World Cup victory elevates collective contributors like Rodri and Lamine Yamal, though the latter's injury-limited tournament role caps his standing at 16.2%. Kylian Mbappé sits at 10.9% on the strength of consistent Real Madrid output despite France's earlier exit. Lower probabilities for Messi, Kvaratskhelia, and others reflect fewer standout team achievements or goal tallies relative to the frontrunners ahead of the October ceremony.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоХарри Кейн 62.5%
Ламин Ямал 16.3%
Килиан Мбаппе 10.9%
Родри 5%
$34,139,562 Объем
$34,139,562 Объем
30 окт. 2026 г.
Харри Кейн
62%
Ламин Ямал
16%
Килиан Мбаппе
11%
Родри
5%
Лионель Месси
3%
Хвича Кварацхелия
3%
Усман Дембеле
1%
Фабиан Руис
1%
Майкл Олисе
<1%
Эрлинг Холанд
<1%
Джуд Беллингем
<1%
Витинья
<1%
Винисиус Жуниор
<1%
Деклан Райс
<1%
Бруну Фернандеш
<1%
Лаутаро Мартинес
<1%
Ашраф Хакими
<1%
Луис Диас
<1%
Пау Кубарси
<1%
Харри Кейн 62.5%
Ламин Ямал 16.3%
Килиан Мбаппе 10.9%
Родри 5%
$34,139,562 Объем
$34,139,562 Объем
30 окт. 2026 г.
Харри Кейн
$4,078,451 Объем
62%
Ламин Ямал
$2,206,517 Объем
16%
Килиан Мбаппе
$2,138,721 Объем
11%
Родри
$1,526,791 Объем
5%
Лионель Месси
$2,456,412 Объем
3%
Хвича Кварацхелия
$1,504,155 Объем
3%
Усман Дембеле
$2,211,973 Объем
1%
Фабиан Руис
$1,155,120 Объем
1%
Майкл Олисе
$1,706,171 Объем
<1%
Эрлинг Холанд
$1,551,717 Объем
<1%
Джуд Беллингем
$1,278,626 Объем
<1%
Витинья
$843,015 Объем
<1%
Винисиус Жуниор
$1,069,433 Объем
<1%
Деклан Райс
$864,656 Объем
<1%
Бруну Фернандеш
$711,222 Объем
<1%
Лаутаро Мартинес
$490,016 Объем
<1%
Ашраф Хакими
$740,083 Объем
<1%
Луис Диас
$440,734 Объем
<1%
Пау Кубарси
$949,675 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 62.5% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign that produced over 60 goals across all competitions for Bayern Munich, domestic titles including the Bundesliga, and a strong World Cup showing with England reaching the semifinals. Spain's World Cup victory elevates collective contributors like Rodri and Lamine Yamal, though the latter's injury-limited tournament role caps his standing at 16.2%. Kylian Mbappé sits at 10.9% on the strength of consistent Real Madrid output despite France's earlier exit. Lower probabilities for Messi, Kvaratskhelia, and others reflect fewer standout team achievements or goal tallies relative to the frontrunners ahead of the October ceremony.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Объем
$34,139,562Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 62.5% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign that produced over 60 goals across all competitions for Bayern Munich, domestic titles including the Bundesliga, and a strong World Cup showing with England reaching the semifinals. Spain's World Cup victory elevates collective contributors like Rodri and Lamine Yamal, though the latter's injury-limited tournament role caps his standing at 16.2%. Kylian Mbappé sits at 10.9% on the strength of consistent Real Madrid output despite France's earlier exit. Lower probabilities for Messi, Kvaratskhelia, and others reflect fewer standout team achievements or goal tallies relative to the frontrunners ahead of the October ceremony.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Объем
$34,139,562Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 62.5% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign that produced over 60 goals across all competitions for Bayern Munich, domestic titles including the Bundesliga, and a strong World Cup showing with England reaching the semifinals. Spain's World Cup victory elevates collective contributors like Rodri and Lamine Yamal, though the latter's injury-limited tournament role caps his standing at 16.2%. Kylian Mbappé sits at 10.9% on the strength of consistent Real Madrid output despite France's earlier exit. Lower probabilities for Messi, Kvaratskhelia, and others reflect fewer standout team achievements or goal tallies relative to the frontrunners ahead of the October ceremony.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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