Bruno Mars’ “I Just Might” holds the clearest edge among the six nominees for Best R&B at the 2026 VMAs, driven by his dominant year that includes multiple AMA wins for Best R&B Song and Album plus strong streaming and critical momentum. Kehlani’s “Folded” and Justin Bieber’s “Yukon” sit close behind, each backed by consistent radio play, loyal fanbases, and solid chart trajectories that keep the category competitive. Mariah the Scientist and Kali Uchis’ collaboration, Chris Brown’s entry, and Dave & Tems’ track trail with narrower support. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony set for September 27, late shifts in social engagement or last-minute streaming spikes could still reshape the final tally in this tight field.