Harry Kane’s record-shattering 2025-26 campaign—roughly 70 goals across competitions for Bayern Munich plus a strong World Cup showing with England—has driven overwhelming trader consensus for a top-three Ballon d’Or finish at the October 26 ceremony in London. Spain’s World Cup triumph elevated Lamine Yamal and Rodri as the clearest challengers, with Yamal’s precocious output and collective success creating sustained momentum despite fewer individual trophies. The September 8 shortlist announcement confirmed the competitive field, where historical voting patterns reward major-tournament impact and domestic dominance. Mbappé and others remain in play via volume and narrative, but Kane’s combination of numbers, consistency, and timing has solidified frontrunner status ahead of the secret ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$71,532 Объем
Harry Kane
94%
Lamine Yamal
81%
Kylian Mbappé
66%
Rodri
46%
Ousmane Dembélé
25%
Lionel Messi
21%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
16%
Fabian Ruiz
6%
Pau Cubarsi
4%
Vitinha
4%
Declan Rice
4%
Jude Bellingham
3%
Michael Olise
3%
Achraf Hakimi
2%
Luis Diaz
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Erling Haaland
1%
$71,532 Объем
Harry Kane
94%
Lamine Yamal
81%
Kylian Mbappé
66%
Rodri
46%
Ousmane Dembélé
25%
Lionel Messi
21%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
16%
Fabian Ruiz
6%
Pau Cubarsi
4%
Vitinha
4%
Declan Rice
4%
Jude Bellingham
3%
Michael Olise
3%
Achraf Hakimi
2%
Luis Diaz
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Erling Haaland
1%
If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Harry Kane’s record-shattering 2025-26 campaign—roughly 70 goals across competitions for Bayern Munich plus a strong World Cup showing with England—has driven overwhelming trader consensus for a top-three Ballon d’Or finish at the October 26 ceremony in London. Spain’s World Cup triumph elevated Lamine Yamal and Rodri as the clearest challengers, with Yamal’s precocious output and collective success creating sustained momentum despite fewer individual trophies. The September 8 shortlist announcement confirmed the competitive field, where historical voting patterns reward major-tournament impact and domestic dominance. Mbappé and others remain in play via volume and narrative, but Kane’s combination of numbers, consistency, and timing has solidified frontrunner status ahead of the secret ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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