OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing and Altman’s firm stance on a $1 trillion-plus target underpin the 80.7% market-implied probability of a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. The March 2026 $852 billion private round already embedded rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $24 billion annualized run rate, and a potential 2027 listing—signaled by CFO Sarah Friar after the September window passed—would allow further scaling before debut. Traders appear to price in continued AI-sector multiples and capital inflows despite ongoing losses, viewing the delay as supportive of higher valuation outcomes rather than a sign of weakness.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1,5Т+ 80.7%
1,25–1,5 трлн 10%
1–1,25 трлн 4.0%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 3.8%
$236,553 Объем
$236,553 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<500 млрд
<1%
500–750 млрд
1%
750 млрд – 1 трлн
2%
1–1,25 трлн
4%
1,25–1,5 трлн
10%
1,5Т+
81%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
4%
1,5Т+ 80.7%
1,25–1,5 трлн 10%
1–1,25 трлн 4.0%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 3.8%
$236,553 Объем
$236,553 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<500 млрд
$18,932 Объем
<1%
500–750 млрд
$20,521 Объем
1%
750 млрд – 1 трлн
$47,671 Объем
2%
1–1,25 трлн
$26,456 Объем
4%
1,25–1,5 трлн
$21,258 Объем
10%
1,5Т+
$55,671 Объем
81%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
$46,044 Объем
4%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing and Altman’s firm stance on a $1 trillion-plus target underpin the 80.7% market-implied probability of a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. The March 2026 $852 billion private round already embedded rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $24 billion annualized run rate, and a potential 2027 listing—signaled by CFO Sarah Friar after the September window passed—would allow further scaling before debut. Traders appear to price in continued AI-sector multiples and capital inflows despite ongoing losses, viewing the delay as supportive of higher valuation outcomes rather than a sign of weakness.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Объем
$236,553Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing and Altman’s firm stance on a $1 trillion-plus target underpin the 80.7% market-implied probability of a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. The March 2026 $852 billion private round already embedded rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $24 billion annualized run rate, and a potential 2027 listing—signaled by CFO Sarah Friar after the September window passed—would allow further scaling before debut. Traders appear to price in continued AI-sector multiples and capital inflows despite ongoing losses, viewing the delay as supportive of higher valuation outcomes rather than a sign of weakness.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$236,553Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing and Altman’s firm stance on a $1 trillion-plus target underpin the 80.7% market-implied probability of a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. The March 2026 $852 billion private round already embedded rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $24 billion annualized run rate, and a potential 2027 listing—signaled by CFO Sarah Friar after the September window passed—would allow further scaling before debut. Traders appear to price in continued AI-sector multiples and capital inflows despite ongoing losses, viewing the delay as supportive of higher valuation outcomes rather than a sign of weakness.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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