OpenAI’s IPO valuation odds cluster tightly around the $1.25T–$2.0T ranges because traders weigh the company’s March 2026 private mark of $852 billion against CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion-plus debut and CFO Sarah Friar’s recent confirmation of a likely 2027 listing. Strong revenue momentum—roughly $2 billion monthly run-rate—and major backer commitments from Amazon and Nvidia support premium pricing, yet persistent operating losses and post-SpaceX market volatility introduce caution. The spread across mid-trillion buckets reflects uncertainty over timing, regulatory review of the June 2026 confidential filing, and whether public investors will pay a meaningful premium to the last private round once the S-1 becomes effective.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 16.8%
$2.5T+ 14.5%
$123,784 Объем
$123,784 Объем
30 июн. 2027 г.
<$1T
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
17%
$1.75T–$2.0T
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
6%
$2.5T+
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 16.8%
$2.5T+ 14.5%
$123,784 Объем
$123,784 Объем
30 июн. 2027 г.
<$1T
$15,122 Объем
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$14,056 Объем
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$6,920 Объем
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$7,070 Объем
17%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$13,585 Объем
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,564 Объем
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$6,826 Объем
6%
$2.5T+
$57,641 Объем
14%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s IPO valuation odds cluster tightly around the $1.25T–$2.0T ranges because traders weigh the company’s March 2026 private mark of $852 billion against CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion-plus debut and CFO Sarah Friar’s recent confirmation of a likely 2027 listing. Strong revenue momentum—roughly $2 billion monthly run-rate—and major backer commitments from Amazon and Nvidia support premium pricing, yet persistent operating losses and post-SpaceX market volatility introduce caution. The spread across mid-trillion buckets reflects uncertainty over timing, regulatory review of the June 2026 confidential filing, and whether public investors will pay a meaningful premium to the last private round once the S-1 becomes effective.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Объем
$123,784Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s IPO valuation odds cluster tightly around the $1.25T–$2.0T ranges because traders weigh the company’s March 2026 private mark of $852 billion against CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion-plus debut and CFO Sarah Friar’s recent confirmation of a likely 2027 listing. Strong revenue momentum—roughly $2 billion monthly run-rate—and major backer commitments from Amazon and Nvidia support premium pricing, yet persistent operating losses and post-SpaceX market volatility introduce caution. The spread across mid-trillion buckets reflects uncertainty over timing, regulatory review of the June 2026 confidential filing, and whether public investors will pay a meaningful premium to the last private round once the S-1 becomes effective.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$123,784Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s IPO valuation odds cluster tightly around the $1.25T–$2.0T ranges because traders weigh the company’s March 2026 private mark of $852 billion against CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion-plus debut and CFO Sarah Friar’s recent confirmation of a likely 2027 listing. Strong revenue momentum—roughly $2 billion monthly run-rate—and major backer commitments from Amazon and Nvidia support premium pricing, yet persistent operating losses and post-SpaceX market volatility introduce caution. The spread across mid-trillion buckets reflects uncertainty over timing, regulatory review of the June 2026 confidential filing, and whether public investors will pay a meaningful premium to the last private round once the S-1 becomes effective.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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