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icon for Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация
Финансы·IPO

Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация

icon for Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация
Финансы·IPO

Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация

янв. 1, 2027

янв. 1, 2028

янв. 1, 2027

янв. 1, 2028

Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2026 года 93.0%

<500 млрд 2.2%

750 млрд–1 трлн <1%

1.5T+ <1%

Polymarket

$2,305,565 Объем

Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2026 года 93.0%

<500 млрд 2.2%

750 млрд–1 трлн <1%

1.5T+ <1%

Polymarket

$2,305,565 Объем

<500 млрд

$315,127 Объем

2%

500–750 млрд

$170,329 Объем

<1%

750 млрд–1 трлн

$183,987 Объем

1%

1T–1.25T

$225,278 Объем

<1%

1,25–1,5 трлн долларов

$532,092 Объем

1%

1.5T+

$162,418 Объем

1%

Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2026 года

$716,335 Объем

93%

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus assigns a 93% implied probability to no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026, reflecting the company's sustained private funding strategy, including recent multibillion-dollar rounds that have supported valuations above $150 billion without public listing requirements. Executive statements emphasizing long-term control and AGI development priorities over immediate equity market access continue to anchor expectations, while elevated private-market liquidity and regulatory scrutiny around AI governance add friction to any near-term filing. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include an unexpected capital shortfall prompting accelerated plans or a strategic pivot amid intensifying competition, though such catalysts remain low-probability given current balance sheet strength and timeline signals.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$2,305,565
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus assigns a 93% implied probability to no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026, reflecting the company's sustained private funding strategy, including recent multibillion-dollar rounds that have supported valuations above $150 billion without public listing requirements. Executive statements emphasizing long-term control and AGI development priorities over immediate equity market access continue to anchor expectations, while elevated private-market liquidity and regulatory scrutiny around AI governance add friction to any near-term filing. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include an unexpected capital shortfall prompting accelerated plans or a strategic pivot amid intensifying competition, though such catalysts remain low-probability given current balance sheet strength and timeline signals.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$2,305,565
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Связанные

icon for Будет ли рыночная капитализация OpenAI составлять $1,5 трлн или больше к закрытию торгов в день IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года?

Будет ли рыночная капитализация OpenAI составлять $1,5 трлн или больше к закрытию торгов в день IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года?

74%
Да
icon for Рыночная капитализация OpenAI после IPO превысит $800 млрд?

Рыночная капитализация OpenAI после IPO превысит $800 млрд?

94%
Да
icon for SpaceX или OpenAI — выше рыночная капитализация на IPO?

SpaceX или OpenAI — выше рыночная капитализация на IPO?

58%
SpaceX

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2026 года» с 93%, за ним следует «<500 млрд» с 2%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 93¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 93%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $2.3 million с момента запуска рынка Sep 22, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация» — «Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2026 года» с 93%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 93%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<500 млрд» с 2%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.