OpenAI's pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus IPO valuation, set against its $852 billion March 2026 private round, remains the central driver of trader positioning, with CEO Sam Altman rejecting lower targets as a nonstarter. Confidential SEC filing occurred in June, yet the anticipated September 2026 window has closed without a public S-1 or pricing, as CFO Sarah Friar indicated a 2027 debut unless revenue inflects sharply from the current ~$24 billion annualized run rate. Heavy compute spending and projected 2026 losses near $14 billion create tension between growth momentum and profitability timelines, while the broader AI IPO pipeline—including Anthropic—and tech market volatility after SpaceX's debut add sensitivity to equity sentiment and Treasury yields. Key catalysts include any revenue acceleration or shifts in Fed policy that could reopen favorable listing conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1,530,887 Объем
$1,530,887 Объем
30 дек. 2027 г.
$800 млрд
93%
$1 трлн
95%
$1,2 трлн
91%
$1,4 трлн
90%
$1,6 трлн
75%
$1,530,887 Объем
$1,530,887 Объем
30 дек. 2027 г.
$800 млрд
$110,877 Объем
93%
$1 трлн
$1,049,378 Объем
95%
$1,2 трлн
$249,448 Объем
91%
$1,4 трлн
$69,355 Объем
90%
$1,6 трлн
$51,829 Объем
75%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus IPO valuation, set against its $852 billion March 2026 private round, remains the central driver of trader positioning, with CEO Sam Altman rejecting lower targets as a nonstarter. Confidential SEC filing occurred in June, yet the anticipated September 2026 window has closed without a public S-1 or pricing, as CFO Sarah Friar indicated a 2027 debut unless revenue inflects sharply from the current ~$24 billion annualized run rate. Heavy compute spending and projected 2026 losses near $14 billion create tension between growth momentum and profitability timelines, while the broader AI IPO pipeline—including Anthropic—and tech market volatility after SpaceX's debut add sensitivity to equity sentiment and Treasury yields. Key catalysts include any revenue acceleration or shifts in Fed policy that could reopen favorable listing conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Объем
$1,530,887Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus IPO valuation, set against its $852 billion March 2026 private round, remains the central driver of trader positioning, with CEO Sam Altman rejecting lower targets as a nonstarter. Confidential SEC filing occurred in June, yet the anticipated September 2026 window has closed without a public S-1 or pricing, as CFO Sarah Friar indicated a 2027 debut unless revenue inflects sharply from the current ~$24 billion annualized run rate. Heavy compute spending and projected 2026 losses near $14 billion create tension between growth momentum and profitability timelines, while the broader AI IPO pipeline—including Anthropic—and tech market volatility after SpaceX's debut add sensitivity to equity sentiment and Treasury yields. Key catalysts include any revenue acceleration or shifts in Fed policy that could reopen favorable listing conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Объем
$1,530,887Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus IPO valuation, set against its $852 billion March 2026 private round, remains the central driver of trader positioning, with CEO Sam Altman rejecting lower targets as a nonstarter. Confidential SEC filing occurred in June, yet the anticipated September 2026 window has closed without a public S-1 or pricing, as CFO Sarah Friar indicated a 2027 debut unless revenue inflects sharply from the current ~$24 billion annualized run rate. Heavy compute spending and projected 2026 losses near $14 billion create tension between growth momentum and profitability timelines, while the broader AI IPO pipeline—including Anthropic—and tech market volatility after SpaceX's debut add sensitivity to equity sentiment and Treasury yields. Key catalysts include any revenue acceleration or shifts in Fed policy that could reopen favorable listing conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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