Google’s ongoing delays with its flagship Gemini Pro models, including repeated slips for Gemini 3.5 Pro from June into July and beyond, have anchored trader consensus around an 88.5% chance of no new Pro release by September 30. Recent activity has centered on lighter variants such as Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September and the 3.8 Live series announced mid-month, which prioritize speed, voice agents, and cost efficiency over frontier capabilities. DeepMind continues pre-training on Gemini 4 while refining agentic performance and long-context features, with credible reports pointing to an October window rather than an imminent September launch. This pattern of cautious iteration on non-Pro tiers, combined with historical timeline slippage, reinforces the market’s strong lean toward a post-September resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?
Следующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?
Нет выпуска до 30 сентября 89%
23 сентября 4.0%
24 сентября 3.5%
29 сентября 3.2%
$108,836 Объем
$108,836 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
20 сентября
1%
21 сентября
2%
22 сентября
3%
23 сентября
4%
24 сентября
3%
25 сентября
1%
26 сентября
1%
27 сентября
1%
28 сентября
<1%
29 сентября
3%
30 сентября
3%
Нет выпуска до 30 сентября
89%
Нет выпуска до 30 сентября 89%
23 сентября 4.0%
24 сентября 3.5%
29 сентября 3.2%
$108,836 Объем
$108,836 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
20 сентября
$312 Объем
1%
21 сентября
$562 Объем
2%
22 сентября
$594 Объем
3%
23 сентября
$479 Объем
4%
24 сентября
$604 Объем
3%
25 сентября
$308 Объем
1%
26 сентября
$310 Объем
1%
27 сентября
$312 Объем
1%
28 сентября
$527 Объем
<1%
29 сентября
$538 Объем
3%
30 сентября
$888 Объем
3%
Нет выпуска до 30 сентября
$93,265 Объем
89%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays with its flagship Gemini Pro models, including repeated slips for Gemini 3.5 Pro from June into July and beyond, have anchored trader consensus around an 88.5% chance of no new Pro release by September 30. Recent activity has centered on lighter variants such as Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September and the 3.8 Live series announced mid-month, which prioritize speed, voice agents, and cost efficiency over frontier capabilities. DeepMind continues pre-training on Gemini 4 while refining agentic performance and long-context features, with credible reports pointing to an October window rather than an imminent September launch. This pattern of cautious iteration on non-Pro tiers, combined with historical timeline slippage, reinforces the market’s strong lean toward a post-September resolution.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Объем
$108,836Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays with its flagship Gemini Pro models, including repeated slips for Gemini 3.5 Pro from June into July and beyond, have anchored trader consensus around an 88.5% chance of no new Pro release by September 30. Recent activity has centered on lighter variants such as Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September and the 3.8 Live series announced mid-month, which prioritize speed, voice agents, and cost efficiency over frontier capabilities. DeepMind continues pre-training on Gemini 4 while refining agentic performance and long-context features, with credible reports pointing to an October window rather than an imminent September launch. This pattern of cautious iteration on non-Pro tiers, combined with historical timeline slippage, reinforces the market’s strong lean toward a post-September resolution.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$108,836Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Google’s ongoing delays with its flagship Gemini Pro models, including repeated slips for Gemini 3.5 Pro from June into July and beyond, have anchored trader consensus around an 88.5% chance of no new Pro release by September 30. Recent activity has centered on lighter variants such as Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September and the 3.8 Live series announced mid-month, which prioritize speed, voice agents, and cost efficiency over frontier capabilities. DeepMind continues pre-training on Gemini 4 while refining agentic performance and long-context features, with credible reports pointing to an October window rather than an imminent September launch. This pattern of cautious iteration on non-Pro tiers, combined with historical timeline slippage, reinforces the market’s strong lean toward a post-September resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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