Recent polling averages for Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election place Yisrael Beiteinu at roughly eight seats, or about 6.7 percent of the vote, with individual surveys ranging from six to nine seats. This stability underpins the tight distribution among the 5–7 percent outcomes. Avigdor Lieberman’s party has reinforced its opposition profile through a surplus-vote agreement with Naftali Bennett’s Together party, a candidate list featuring prominent new faces such as bereaved father Rafi Ben Shitrit, and repeated commitments to universal conscription without exemptions alongside a state commission of inquiry into October 7. These positions have sustained core support among Russian-speaking and secular voters while limiting further gains amid competition from other opposition lists and the four-seat electoral threshold. Late shifts in turnout or coalition signaling before election day remain the main variables that could move the result outside the current 5–7 percent range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено6-7% 36%
5-6% 24%
7-8% 20%
<5% 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<5%
20%
5-6%
24%
6-7%
36%
7-8%
16%
8%+
21%
6-7% 36%
5-6% 24%
7-8% 20%
<5% 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<5%
$942 Объем
20%
5-6%
$139 Объем
24%
6-7%
$243 Объем
36%
7-8%
$158 Объем
16%
8%+
$67 Объем
21%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages for Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election place Yisrael Beiteinu at roughly eight seats, or about 6.7 percent of the vote, with individual surveys ranging from six to nine seats. This stability underpins the tight distribution among the 5–7 percent outcomes. Avigdor Lieberman’s party has reinforced its opposition profile through a surplus-vote agreement with Naftali Bennett’s Together party, a candidate list featuring prominent new faces such as bereaved father Rafi Ben Shitrit, and repeated commitments to universal conscription without exemptions alongside a state commission of inquiry into October 7. These positions have sustained core support among Russian-speaking and secular voters while limiting further gains amid competition from other opposition lists and the four-seat electoral threshold. Late shifts in turnout or coalition signaling before election day remain the main variables that could move the result outside the current 5–7 percent range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Объем
$1,549Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages for Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election place Yisrael Beiteinu at roughly eight seats, or about 6.7 percent of the vote, with individual surveys ranging from six to nine seats. This stability underpins the tight distribution among the 5–7 percent outcomes. Avigdor Lieberman’s party has reinforced its opposition profile through a surplus-vote agreement with Naftali Bennett’s Together party, a candidate list featuring prominent new faces such as bereaved father Rafi Ben Shitrit, and repeated commitments to universal conscription without exemptions alongside a state commission of inquiry into October 7. These positions have sustained core support among Russian-speaking and secular voters while limiting further gains amid competition from other opposition lists and the four-seat electoral threshold. Late shifts in turnout or coalition signaling before election day remain the main variables that could move the result outside the current 5–7 percent range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Объем
$1,549Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election place Yisrael Beiteinu at roughly eight seats, or about 6.7 percent of the vote, with individual surveys ranging from six to nine seats. This stability underpins the tight distribution among the 5–7 percent outcomes. Avigdor Lieberman’s party has reinforced its opposition profile through a surplus-vote agreement with Naftali Bennett’s Together party, a candidate list featuring prominent new faces such as bereaved father Rafi Ben Shitrit, and repeated commitments to universal conscription without exemptions alongside a state commission of inquiry into October 7. These positions have sustained core support among Russian-speaking and secular voters while limiting further gains amid competition from other opposition lists and the four-seat electoral threshold. Late shifts in turnout or coalition signaling before election day remain the main variables that could move the result outside the current 5–7 percent range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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