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Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?

icon for Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?

Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?

$7,098,769 Объем

30 сент. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$7,098,769 Объем

Polymarket

30 сентября

$382,290 Объем

3%

31 октября

$7,859 Объем

9%

31 декабря

$589,412 Объем

22%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.**Mojtaba Khamenei has maintained a complete absence from public view since succeeding his father as Iran’s Supreme Leader in March 2026 following Ali Khamenei’s assassination in a February U.S.-Israeli strike.** He issued only written statements read by state media, skipped the July state funeral attended by millions, and released no verified contemporaneous video, audio, or photos. Iranian authorities cite security risks tied to his reported injuries and assassination threats, while analysts note a possible shift toward collective or IRGC-influenced decision-making. Regime outlets have countered speculation with undated clips and indirect claims, such as a September 2026 account of his presence at a shrine burial site, but these lack independent confirmation. Ongoing conflict dynamics, religious ceremonies, or high-level diplomatic developments could create pressure or opportunity for a verified appearance, though the six-month pattern suggests structural barriers remain significant.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Объем
$7,098,769
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.**Mojtaba Khamenei has maintained a complete absence from public view since succeeding his father as Iran’s Supreme Leader in March 2026 following Ali Khamenei’s assassination in a February U.S.-Israeli strike.** He issued only written statements read by state media, skipped the July state funeral attended by millions, and released no verified contemporaneous video, audio, or photos. Iranian authorities cite security risks tied to his reported injuries and assassination threats, while analysts note a possible shift toward collective or IRGC-influenced decision-making. Regime outlets have countered speculation with undated clips and indirect claims, such as a September 2026 account of his presence at a shrine burial site, but these lack independent confirmation. Ongoing conflict dynamics, religious ceremonies, or high-level diplomatic developments could create pressure or opportunity for a verified appearance, though the six-month pattern suggests structural barriers remain significant.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Объем
$7,098,769
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 14 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря» с 22%, за ним следует «31 октября» с 9%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 22¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 22%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $7.1 million с момента запуска рынка Mar 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?», просмотри 14 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?» — «31 декабря» с 22%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 22%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31 октября» с 9%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.