Anthropic’s recent timeline adjustments explain the market’s heavy weighting toward November 2026. Reports from Reuters, The Wall Street Journal, and The New York Times in early-to-mid September 2026 indicate the company pushed its target from October to November to incorporate stronger third-quarter results before the roadshow, with public S-1 filing now eyed for late September and marketing starting mid-October. This aligns with the confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and rapid revenue growth to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July, supporting trader consensus around the 50 percent implied probability for November. Key near-term catalysts include finalizing a $15 billion credit facility and potential pre-IPO model releases, though regulatory reviews or market conditions could still shift the exact window into December.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНоябрь 2026 50.3%
Декабрь 2026 года 23.6%
Январь 2027 года 8.8%
Февраль 2027 года 4.5%
$253,266 Объем
$253,266 Объем
Сентябрь 2026
<1%
Октябрь 2026 года
3%
Ноябрь 2026
50%
Декабрь 2026 года
24%
Январь 2027 года
9%
Февраль 2027 года
4%
Март 2027 года
7%
Апрель 2027 года
2%
Май 2027
1%
Июнь 2027 года
1%
Июль 2027
1%
Август 2027 года
<1%
Сентябрь 2027
1%
Октябрь 2027 года
1%
Ноябрь 2027 года
1%
Декабрь 2027 года
1%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
2%
Ноябрь 2026 50.3%
Декабрь 2026 года 23.6%
Январь 2027 года 8.8%
Февраль 2027 года 4.5%
$253,266 Объем
$253,266 Объем
Сентябрь 2026
<1%
Октябрь 2026 года
3%
Ноябрь 2026
50%
Декабрь 2026 года
24%
Январь 2027 года
9%
Февраль 2027 года
4%
Март 2027 года
7%
Апрель 2027 года
2%
Май 2027
1%
Июнь 2027 года
1%
Июль 2027
1%
Август 2027 года
<1%
Сентябрь 2027
1%
Октябрь 2027 года
1%
Ноябрь 2027 года
1%
Декабрь 2027 года
1%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
2%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s recent timeline adjustments explain the market’s heavy weighting toward November 2026. Reports from Reuters, The Wall Street Journal, and The New York Times in early-to-mid September 2026 indicate the company pushed its target from October to November to incorporate stronger third-quarter results before the roadshow, with public S-1 filing now eyed for late September and marketing starting mid-October. This aligns with the confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and rapid revenue growth to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July, supporting trader consensus around the 50 percent implied probability for November. Key near-term catalysts include finalizing a $15 billion credit facility and potential pre-IPO model releases, though regulatory reviews or market conditions could still shift the exact window into December.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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