Recent cooling from a cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall has sharply lowered Chengdu's temperatures, with official forecasts pointing to a Sep 11 high near 23–26°C under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes modest daytime recovery from the 17–22°C range seen on Sep 10, though exact peaks hinge on the timing and intensity of any brief cloud breaks or precipitation. Trader odds clustering tightly at 24–25°C (over 57% combined) reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with lower probabilities assigned to 22°C or below due to historical September baselines and limited further cooling potential before resolution. Updated model runs and local station observations on Sep 11 will determine the final maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 11 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 11 сентября?
25°C 33%
24°C 25%
23°C 14%
26°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
14%
24°C
25%
25°C
33%
26°C
13%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C или выше
<1%
25°C 33%
24°C 25%
23°C 14%
26°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$126 Объем
2%
21°C
$67 Объем
2%
22°C
$64 Объем
4%
23°C
$257 Объем
14%
24°C
$393 Объем
25%
25°C
$2,077 Объем
33%
26°C
$479 Объем
13%
27°C
$168 Объем
6%
28°C
$44 Объем
3%
29°C
$56 Объем
2%
30°C или выше
$278 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from a cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall has sharply lowered Chengdu's temperatures, with official forecasts pointing to a Sep 11 high near 23–26°C under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes modest daytime recovery from the 17–22°C range seen on Sep 10, though exact peaks hinge on the timing and intensity of any brief cloud breaks or precipitation. Trader odds clustering tightly at 24–25°C (over 57% combined) reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with lower probabilities assigned to 22°C or below due to historical September baselines and limited further cooling potential before resolution. Updated model runs and local station observations on Sep 11 will determine the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$4,010Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from a cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall has sharply lowered Chengdu's temperatures, with official forecasts pointing to a Sep 11 high near 23–26°C under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes modest daytime recovery from the 17–22°C range seen on Sep 10, though exact peaks hinge on the timing and intensity of any brief cloud breaks or precipitation. Trader odds clustering tightly at 24–25°C (over 57% combined) reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with lower probabilities assigned to 22°C or below due to historical September baselines and limited further cooling potential before resolution. Updated model runs and local station observations on Sep 11 will determine the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,010Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling from a cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall has sharply lowered Chengdu's temperatures, with official forecasts pointing to a Sep 11 high near 23–26°C under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes modest daytime recovery from the 17–22°C range seen on Sep 10, though exact peaks hinge on the timing and intensity of any brief cloud breaks or precipitation. Trader odds clustering tightly at 24–25°C (over 57% combined) reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with lower probabilities assigned to 22°C or below due to historical September baselines and limited further cooling potential before resolution. Updated model runs and local station observations on Sep 11 will determine the final maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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