The special election to fill the vacancy in Georgia’s 13th Congressional District following the April death of longtime Democratic incumbent David Scott featured an all-party ballot on July 28, with a majority required to avoid an August runoff. A crowded field of Democratic contenders, including Marcye Scott and Everton Blair, alongside minor Republican candidates, created a fragmented vote that traders assessed as carrying a 63.5% implied probability of an outright first-round winner. Recent county-level patterns in the heavily Democratic Atlanta suburbs and historical special-election dynamics in similar open seats informed this consensus, though the absence of a clear frontrunner above 50% and the potential for split Democratic support introduced uncertainty ahead of final certification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-13?
Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-13?
Да
0% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мар. 2027 г.
Да
0% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мар. 2027 г.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.The special election to fill the vacancy in Georgia’s 13th Congressional District following the April death of longtime Democratic incumbent David Scott featured an all-party ballot on July 28, with a majority required to avoid an August runoff. A crowded field of Democratic contenders, including Marcye Scott and Everton Blair, alongside minor Republican candidates, created a fragmented vote that traders assessed as carrying a 63.5% implied probability of an outright first-round winner. Recent county-level patterns in the heavily Democratic Atlanta suburbs and historical special-election dynamics in similar open seats informed this consensus, though the absence of a clear frontrunner above 50% and the potential for split Democratic support introduced uncertainty ahead of final certification.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Объем
$478Дата окончания
1 апр. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.The special election to fill the vacancy in Georgia’s 13th Congressional District following the April death of longtime Democratic incumbent David Scott featured an all-party ballot on July 28, with a majority required to avoid an August runoff. A crowded field of Democratic contenders, including Marcye Scott and Everton Blair, alongside minor Republican candidates, created a fragmented vote that traders assessed as carrying a 63.5% implied probability of an outright first-round winner. Recent county-level patterns in the heavily Democratic Atlanta suburbs and historical special-election dynamics in similar open seats informed this consensus, though the absence of a clear frontrunner above 50% and the potential for split Democratic support introduced uncertainty ahead of final certification.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
Объем
$478Дата окончания
1 апр. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The special election to fill the vacancy in Georgia’s 13th Congressional District following the April death of longtime Democratic incumbent David Scott featured an all-party ballot on July 28, with a majority required to avoid an August runoff. A crowded field of Democratic contenders, including Marcye Scott and Everton Blair, alongside minor Republican candidates, created a fragmented vote that traders assessed as carrying a 63.5% implied probability of an outright first-round winner. Recent county-level patterns in the heavily Democratic Atlanta suburbs and historical special-election dynamics in similar open seats informed this consensus, though the absence of a clear frontrunner above 50% and the potential for split Democratic support introduced uncertainty ahead of final certification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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