Renato Casagrande leads Espírito Santo’s Senate race with a commanding position in recent polling, reflecting his high statewide name recognition after serving as governor until resigning in April 2026 to seek the seat. September surveys show him at 28% consolidated intentions for the two available seats, well ahead of Sergio Meneguelli at 12% and a group of candidates clustered around 9% or lower, including Fabiano Contarato, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and Rose de Freitas. His broad coalition and record in state executive roles underpin trader consensus on a first-place finish ahead of the October 4 election. A late surge by rivals or major campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained frontrunner status.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРенато Казагранде 96.2%
Леонардо Монжаррим <1%
Каллегари <1%
Магуинья Мальта <1%
$12,806 Объем
$12,806 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Ренато Казагранде
96%
Леонардо Монжаррим
1%
Каллегари
1%
Магуинья Мальта
<1%
Профессор Фабиан
<1%
Серхио Менегуэлли
<1%
Фабиано Контарату
<1%
Родни Миранда
<1%
Маркос ду Вал
<1%
Розе де Фрейтас
<1%
Эваир де Мело
<1%
Ренато Казагранде 96.2%
Леонардо Монжаррим <1%
Каллегари <1%
Магуинья Мальта <1%
$12,806 Объем
$12,806 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Ренато Казагранде
$5,875 Объем
96%
Леонардо Монжаррим
$824 Объем
1%
Каллегари
$799 Объем
1%
Магуинья Мальта
$724 Объем
<1%
Профессор Фабиан
$428 Объем
<1%
Серхио Менегуэлли
$731 Объем
<1%
Фабиано Контарату
$732 Объем
<1%
Родни Миранда
$706 Объем
<1%
Маркос ду Вал
$720 Объем
<1%
Розе де Фрейтас
$587 Объем
<1%
Эваир де Мело
$679 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande leads Espírito Santo’s Senate race with a commanding position in recent polling, reflecting his high statewide name recognition after serving as governor until resigning in April 2026 to seek the seat. September surveys show him at 28% consolidated intentions for the two available seats, well ahead of Sergio Meneguelli at 12% and a group of candidates clustered around 9% or lower, including Fabiano Contarato, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and Rose de Freitas. His broad coalition and record in state executive roles underpin trader consensus on a first-place finish ahead of the October 4 election. A late surge by rivals or major campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained frontrunner status.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Объем
$12,806Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande leads Espírito Santo’s Senate race with a commanding position in recent polling, reflecting his high statewide name recognition after serving as governor until resigning in April 2026 to seek the seat. September surveys show him at 28% consolidated intentions for the two available seats, well ahead of Sergio Meneguelli at 12% and a group of candidates clustered around 9% or lower, including Fabiano Contarato, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and Rose de Freitas. His broad coalition and record in state executive roles underpin trader consensus on a first-place finish ahead of the October 4 election. A late surge by rivals or major campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained frontrunner status.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$12,806Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Renato Casagrande leads Espírito Santo’s Senate race with a commanding position in recent polling, reflecting his high statewide name recognition after serving as governor until resigning in April 2026 to seek the seat. September surveys show him at 28% consolidated intentions for the two available seats, well ahead of Sergio Meneguelli at 12% and a group of candidates clustered around 9% or lower, including Fabiano Contarato, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and Rose de Freitas. His broad coalition and record in state executive roles underpin trader consensus on a first-place finish ahead of the October 4 election. A late surge by rivals or major campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained frontrunner status.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы