Incumbent Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with trader consensus reflecting her established advantages in a seat rated Solid or Likely Democratic by major forecasters. Hayes, who won reelection in 2024 with 53.4 percent, benefits from substantial fundraising—over $1.3 million raised compared to Republican nominee Chris Shea's roughly $312,000—along with endorsements from key groups and an unopposed Democratic primary. Shea, a firefighter who won his August 2026 primary, has not shifted the race's fundamentals despite local efforts. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others underscore the district's Democratic lean, though a significant national Republican wave, late-breaking developments, or unexpected shifts in turnout could narrow margins in this northwestern Connecticut area that has seen closer contests in prior cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCT-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CT-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джахана Хэйс (Д)
95%
Крис Ши (Р)
3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джахана Хэйс (Д)
$5,328 Объем
95%
Крис Ши (Р)
$3,497 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with trader consensus reflecting her established advantages in a seat rated Solid or Likely Democratic by major forecasters. Hayes, who won reelection in 2024 with 53.4 percent, benefits from substantial fundraising—over $1.3 million raised compared to Republican nominee Chris Shea's roughly $312,000—along with endorsements from key groups and an unopposed Democratic primary. Shea, a firefighter who won his August 2026 primary, has not shifted the race's fundamentals despite local efforts. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others underscore the district's Democratic lean, though a significant national Republican wave, late-breaking developments, or unexpected shifts in turnout could narrow margins in this northwestern Connecticut area that has seen closer contests in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Объем
$8,824Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with trader consensus reflecting her established advantages in a seat rated Solid or Likely Democratic by major forecasters. Hayes, who won reelection in 2024 with 53.4 percent, benefits from substantial fundraising—over $1.3 million raised compared to Republican nominee Chris Shea's roughly $312,000—along with endorsements from key groups and an unopposed Democratic primary. Shea, a firefighter who won his August 2026 primary, has not shifted the race's fundamentals despite local efforts. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others underscore the district's Democratic lean, though a significant national Republican wave, late-breaking developments, or unexpected shifts in turnout could narrow margins in this northwestern Connecticut area that has seen closer contests in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$8,824Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with trader consensus reflecting her established advantages in a seat rated Solid or Likely Democratic by major forecasters. Hayes, who won reelection in 2024 with 53.4 percent, benefits from substantial fundraising—over $1.3 million raised compared to Republican nominee Chris Shea's roughly $312,000—along with endorsements from key groups and an unopposed Democratic primary. Shea, a firefighter who won his August 2026 primary, has not shifted the race's fundamentals despite local efforts. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others underscore the district's Democratic lean, though a significant national Republican wave, late-breaking developments, or unexpected shifts in turnout could narrow margins in this northwestern Connecticut area that has seen closer contests in prior cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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