Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes advances to the November 3, 2026 general election after an uncontested Democratic primary, facing Republican nominee Michael Goldstein—who prevailed in the August primary—and Independent Damon Cerreta. Multiple forecasters rate the southwestern Connecticut district as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and consistent margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors, including the incumbent's established record and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A shift would require unusual developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCT-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CT-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$47,340 Объем
$47,340 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джим Хаймс (Д)
96%
Майкл Голдстейн (Р)
4%
$47,340 Объем
$47,340 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джим Хаймс (Д)
$21,773 Объем
96%
Майкл Голдстейн (Р)
$25,567 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes advances to the November 3, 2026 general election after an uncontested Democratic primary, facing Republican nominee Michael Goldstein—who prevailed in the August primary—and Independent Damon Cerreta. Multiple forecasters rate the southwestern Connecticut district as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and consistent margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors, including the incumbent's established record and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A shift would require unusual developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Объем
$47,340Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes advances to the November 3, 2026 general election after an uncontested Democratic primary, facing Republican nominee Michael Goldstein—who prevailed in the August primary—and Independent Damon Cerreta. Multiple forecasters rate the southwestern Connecticut district as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and consistent margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors, including the incumbent's established record and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A shift would require unusual developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$47,340Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes advances to the November 3, 2026 general election after an uncontested Democratic primary, facing Republican nominee Michael Goldstein—who prevailed in the August primary—and Independent Damon Cerreta. Multiple forecasters rate the southwestern Connecticut district as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and consistent margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors, including the incumbent's established record and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A shift would require unusual developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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