Zhang Youxia, the former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious violations of discipline and law, including alleged challenges to the CMC chairman responsibility system, and was formally removed from his state CMC post by the National People’s Congress Standing Committee in August 2026. As of mid-September 2026, no trial date or formal charges leading to sentencing have been announced. Comparable high-level PLA cases, such as those involving former defense ministers, have involved multi-year internal party reviews and judicial proceedings before any prison sentence. This extended timeline in the military justice system underpins the current trader consensus that a sentence before 2027 remains unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
11% chance
$168,080 Vol.
$168,080 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
11% chance
$168,080 Vol.
$168,080 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, the former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious violations of discipline and law, including alleged challenges to the CMC chairman responsibility system, and was formally removed from his state CMC post by the National People’s Congress Standing Committee in August 2026. As of mid-September 2026, no trial date or formal charges leading to sentencing have been announced. Comparable high-level PLA cases, such as those involving former defense ministers, have involved multi-year internal party reviews and judicial proceedings before any prison sentence. This extended timeline in the military justice system underpins the current trader consensus that a sentence before 2027 remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Volume
$168,080Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, the former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious violations of discipline and law, including alleged challenges to the CMC chairman responsibility system, and was formally removed from his state CMC post by the National People’s Congress Standing Committee in August 2026. As of mid-September 2026, no trial date or formal charges leading to sentencing have been announced. Comparable high-level PLA cases, such as those involving former defense ministers, have involved multi-year internal party reviews and judicial proceedings before any prison sentence. This extended timeline in the military justice system underpins the current trader consensus that a sentence before 2027 remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$168,080Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Zhang Youxia, the former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious violations of discipline and law, including alleged challenges to the CMC chairman responsibility system, and was formally removed from his state CMC post by the National People’s Congress Standing Committee in August 2026. As of mid-September 2026, no trial date or formal charges leading to sentencing have been announced. Comparable high-level PLA cases, such as those involving former defense ministers, have involved multi-year internal party reviews and judicial proceedings before any prison sentence. This extended timeline in the military justice system underpins the current trader consensus that a sentence before 2027 remains unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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