The current diplomatic posture between the United States and China, centered on extending a trade truce and managing shared priorities such as AI guardrails ahead of the September 24 White House summit, underpins trader expectations that Donald Trump will avoid any public personal insult toward Xi Jinping. Recent statements from Trump have highlighted a constructive relationship with the Chinese leader, consistent with preparatory talks and the formal protocol of a state visit. This consensus reflects the incentives for both sides to maintain stability amid ongoing economic negotiations and regional tensions. Even at high implied probabilities for no insult, developments such as an abrupt shift over Taiwan policy or an unscripted exchange during the meetings could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
4% chance
NOVO
NOVO
7 out 2026
Sim
4% chance
NOVO
NOVO
7 out 2026
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Xi Jinping between the first calendar date (ET) and the final calendar date (ET) of Xi's visit to the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the visit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory. Qualifying insults may be issued on any calendar day (ET) of the visit.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the visit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.The current diplomatic posture between the United States and China, centered on extending a trade truce and managing shared priorities such as AI guardrails ahead of the September 24 White House summit, underpins trader expectations that Donald Trump will avoid any public personal insult toward Xi Jinping. Recent statements from Trump have highlighted a constructive relationship with the Chinese leader, consistent with preparatory talks and the formal protocol of a state visit. This consensus reflects the incentives for both sides to maintain stability amid ongoing economic negotiations and regional tensions. Even at high implied probabilities for no insult, developments such as an abrupt shift over Taiwan policy or an unscripted exchange during the meetings could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Xi Jinping between the first calendar date (ET) and the final calendar date (ET) of Xi's visit to the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the visit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory. Qualifying insults may be issued on any calendar day (ET) of the visit.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the visit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Xi Jinping between the first calendar date (ET) and the final calendar date (ET) of Xi's visit to the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the visit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory. Qualifying insults may be issued on any calendar day (ET) of the visit.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the visit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$554Data de Término
8 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Xi Jinping between the first calendar date (ET) and the final calendar date (ET) of Xi's visit to the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the visit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory. Qualifying insults may be issued on any calendar day (ET) of the visit.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the visit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.The current diplomatic posture between the United States and China, centered on extending a trade truce and managing shared priorities such as AI guardrails ahead of the September 24 White House summit, underpins trader expectations that Donald Trump will avoid any public personal insult toward Xi Jinping. Recent statements from Trump have highlighted a constructive relationship with the Chinese leader, consistent with preparatory talks and the formal protocol of a state visit. This consensus reflects the incentives for both sides to maintain stability amid ongoing economic negotiations and regional tensions. Even at high implied probabilities for no insult, developments such as an abrupt shift over Taiwan policy or an unscripted exchange during the meetings could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Xi Jinping between the first calendar date (ET) and the final calendar date (ET) of Xi's visit to the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the visit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory. Qualifying insults may be issued on any calendar day (ET) of the visit.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the visit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Xi Jinping between the first calendar date (ET) and the final calendar date (ET) of Xi's visit to the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the visit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory. Qualifying insults may be issued on any calendar day (ET) of the visit.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the visit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$554Data de Término
8 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The current diplomatic posture between the United States and China, centered on extending a trade truce and managing shared priorities such as AI guardrails ahead of the September 24 White House summit, underpins trader expectations that Donald Trump will avoid any public personal insult toward Xi Jinping. Recent statements from Trump have highlighted a constructive relationship with the Chinese leader, consistent with preparatory talks and the formal protocol of a state visit. This consensus reflects the incentives for both sides to maintain stability amid ongoing economic negotiations and regional tensions. Even at high implied probabilities for no insult, developments such as an abrupt shift over Taiwan policy or an unscripted exchange during the meetings could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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